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FC Volendam
L W D W L
VS
AI Predicts: 3-2
Away

Jong Ajax
D L W D D
1X2 FC Volendam 46%
O/U Over 2.5 86%
DC 1X 72%
BTTS Yes 70%
OpWin AI Probabilities
FC Volendam 46% Draw 25% Jong Ajax 30%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between FC Volendam and Jong Ajax?

Our prediction for the FC Volendam–Jong Ajax match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

FC Volendam to win (46% confidence); FC Volendam to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (70% confidence)

FC Volendam

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FC Volendam scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

Jong Ajax

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Jong Ajax scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, FC Volendam and Jong Ajax average 4.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, H. Veerman contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.64/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Ünüvar contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.19/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists W. Weijs as coach of Jong Ajax. The latest recorded formations are FC Volendam in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Jong Ajax in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, FC Volendam averaged 52.5% possession and 11.6 shots per match (4.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Jong Ajax averaged 46.0% possession and 15.7 shots (6.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at Kras Stadion (Volendam).

Recent results show that FC Volendam have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.89 — 1.70 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%FC Volendam
X23%Draw
235%Jong Ajax
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes70%
No30%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 88%U 12%
O/U 2.5O 70%U 31%
O/U 3.5O 48%U 52%
O/U 4.5O 29%U 71%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

FC Volendam
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FC Volendam.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 56%U 44%
2.5O 29%U 71%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Jong Ajax
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Jong Ajax.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

FC Volendam18%
Jong Ajax15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

FC Volendam15%
Jong Ajax12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

FC Volendam55%
Jong Ajax45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

FC Volendam
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 19%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 23%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 17%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Jong Ajax
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 17%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 23%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 19%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.48%
#22-18.35%
#31-27.52%
#42-27.11%
#53-15.27%
Combined Top 537.73%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

FC Volendam + BTTS27%
Jong Ajax + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

FC Volendam Season

Rank#11
Points0
Matches Left38

Jong Ajax Season

Rank#18
Points0
Matches Left38

FC Volendam Last 5

De Graafschap 1 - 2
Jong Utrecht 6 - 2
Waalwijk 1 - 1
Vitesse 2 - 0
Almere City FC 1 - 0

Jong Ajax Last 5

Vitesse 1 - 1
FC OSS 3 - 3
De Graafschap 2 - 1
VVV Venlo 0 - 3
Roda 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

FC Volendam: 3 Draws: 1 Jong Ajax: 1
2025 Jong Ajax 0 - 2 FC Volendam
2024 FC Volendam 3 - 0 Jong Ajax
2024 Jong Ajax 3 - 1 FC Volendam
2022 FC Volendam 3 - 1 Jong Ajax
2021 Jong Ajax 4 - 4 FC Volendam

Form Analysis

FC Volendam
L W D W L
Jong Ajax
D L W D D

FC Volendam Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored12
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Jong Ajax Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded3
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Volendam
3.08
Jong Ajax
2.27

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

FC Volendam vs Jong Ajax is a Football football match on November 20, 2026 at Kras Stadion. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWDWL) for FC Volendam and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DLWDD) for Jong Ajax. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Kras Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, FC Volendam is currently #11 with 0 points from 0 matches, while Jong Ajax is #18 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: FC Volendam won 3, 1 were drawn and Jong Ajax won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows FC Volendam at 3.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Jong Ajax at 3.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.08 for FC Volendam and 2.27 for Jong Ajax.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.