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Fiorentina

L W D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Como

L D L W W
1X2 Fiorentina 38%
O/U Over 2.5 61%
DC X2 77%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Fiorentina 38% Draw 28% Como 33%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Fiorentina Como
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' FT Fiorentina · 10.0' · 0 Como · 10.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 14.0' · 1 Como · 14.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 22.0' · 2 Como · 22.0' · 3.1 Fiorentina · 26.0' · 1.1 Como · 26.0' · 1 Fiorentina · 30.0' · 0 Como · 30.0' · 4.35 Fiorentina · 38.0' · 0 Como · 38.0' · 2.25 Fiorentina · 42.0' · 0 Como · 42.0' · 1.1 Fiorentina · 46.0' · 7.6 Como · 46.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 50.0' · 2.25 Como · 50.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 45.0' · 0 Como · 45.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 45.0' · 0 Como · 45.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 45.0' · 0 Como · 45.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 45.0' · 0 Como · 45.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 47.0' · 0 Como · 47.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 51.0' · 1 Como · 51.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 55.0' · 5.45 Como · 55.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 59.0' · 0 Como · 59.0' · 2.25 Fiorentina · 63.0' · 0 Como · 63.0' · 2.1 Fiorentina · 67.0' · 0 Como · 67.0' · 3.25 Fiorentina · 71.0' · 1.1 Como · 71.0' · 1 Fiorentina · 75.0' · 1 Como · 75.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 79.0' · 5.45 Como · 79.0' · 2.25 Fiorentina · 83.0' · 4.35 Como · 83.0' · 1 Fiorentina · 87.0' · 0 Como · 87.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 91.0' · 2.1 Como · 91.0' · 0 Fiorentina · 90.0' · 1.1 Como · 90.0' · 0 Substitution · 14' · Trevoh Chalobah Jacobo Ramón ↔ Card · 28' · Álex Valle C Goal · 32' · Mattia Liberali Normal GoalG Goal · 36' · Nico Paz Normal GoalG Card · 39' · Nico Paz C Goal · 42' · Marin Pongračić Normal GoalG Card · 45' · Jacobo Ramón C VAR review · 45' · Marin Pongračić Goal cancelledVAR Substitution · 45' · Álex Valle Kaiki Bruno ↔ Goal · 56' · Anastasios Douvikas Normal GoalG Substitution · 61' · Nico Paz Maximo Perrone ↔ Substitution · 63' · Pedro Goncalves Wilfried Gnonto ↔ Substitution · 64' · Viery Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera ↔ Card · 68' · Cher Ndour C Card · 69' · Franco Mastantuono C Substitution · 69' · Franco Mastantuono Marco Brescianini ↔ Substitution · 69' · Álex Jiménez Domilson Dodo ↔ Substitution · 79' · Cher Ndour Beto ↔ Substitution · 83' · Mattia Liberali Willy Kambwala ↔ Substitution · 83' · Lucas Da Cunha Samuele Ricci ↔

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 03:03 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.48 — 1.64 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

134%Fiorentina
X25%Draw
241%Como
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Fiorentina
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Fiorentina.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Como
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Como.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Fiorentina19%
Como23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Fiorentina14%
Como18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Fiorentina46%
Como54%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Fiorentina
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Como
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.51%
#21-28.75%
#32-17.93%
#40-16.61%
#52-26.50%
Combined Top 541.30%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Fiorentina + BTTS20%
Como + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' 🔄 In: Jacobo Ramón
28' 🟥 Álex Valle
32' ⚽ Mattia Liberali
36' ⚽ Nico Paz
39' 🟥 Nico Paz
42' ⚽ Marin Pongračić
45' 🟥 Jacobo Ramón
45' ⚽
45' 🔄 In: Kaiki Bruno
56' ⚽ Anastasios Douvikas
61' 🔄 In: Maximo Perrone
63' 🔄 In: Wilfried Gnonto
64' 🔄 In: Víctor Valdepeñas Talavera
68' 🟥 Cher Ndour
69' 🟥 Franco Mastantuono
69' 🔄 In: Marco Brescianini
69' 🔄 In: Domilson Dodo
79' 🔄 In: Beto
83' 🔄 In: Willy Kambwala
83' 🔄 In: Samuele Ricci

Lineups

Fiorentina Home
  • David de Gea
  • Álex Jiménez
  • R. Drăgușin
  • M. Pongračić
  • Viery
  • C. Ndour
  • N. Fagioli
  • Franco Mastantuono
  • Pote
  • A. Njie
  • Mateo Pellegrino
Como Away
  • J. Butez
  • I. Smolčić
  • T. Chalobah
  • M. Kempf
  • Álex Valle
  • Luis Milla
  • L. da Cunha
  • M. Liberali
  • N. Paz
  • M. Caqueret
  • T. Douvikas

Fiorentina Season

Rank#18
Points4
Matches Left31

Como Season

Rank#5
Points14
Matches Left31

Fiorentina Last 5

Como 1 - 3
Genoa 2 - 1
Napoli 1 - 1
Venezia 2 - 4
Torino 1 - 2

Como Last 5

Manchester United 4 - 1
Fiorentina 1 - 3
Feyenoord 3 - 2
AS Roma 0 - 0
Frosinone 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Fiorentina: 2 Draws: 0 Como: 3
2026 Como 1 - 2 Fiorentina
2026 Fiorentina 1 - 3 Como
2025 Fiorentina 1 - 2 Como
2025 Fiorentina 0 - 2 Como
2024 Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina

Form Analysis

Fiorentina
L L D W L
Como
W D L W W

Fiorentina Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded9
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.25

Como Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored10
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Match Statistics

19Shots16
7Shots on Target8
11Corners5
46%Possession54%
2Yellow Cards3

Expected Goals (xG)

Fiorentina
1.20
Como
1.96

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Fiorentina vs Como is a Serie A football match on October 18, 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDWL) for Fiorentina and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLWW) for Como. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Fiorentina is currently #18 with 4 points from 7 matches, while Como is #5 with 14 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Fiorentina won 2, 0 were drawn and Como won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Fiorentina at 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per home match, versus Como at 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.20 for Fiorentina and 1.96 for Como. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 1 - 3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.