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Fluminense

L W W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Santos

W W D L W
1X2 Fluminense 57%
O/U Over 1.5 76%
DC 1X 83%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Fluminense 57% Draw 25% Santos 18%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.67 — 1.38 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Fluminense
X25%Draw
231%Santos
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Fluminense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Fluminense.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Santos
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Santos.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Fluminense25%
Santos19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Fluminense20%
Santos13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Fluminense58%
Santos42%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Fluminense
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 25%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Santos
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 25%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.86%
#22-19.08%
#31-27.52%
#41-07.24%
#52-06.59%
Combined Top 542.29%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Fluminense + BTTS24%
Santos + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

4' ⚽ Rodrigo Castillo
25' 🟥 Álvaro Barreal
31' 🟥 Agustín Canobbio
49' ⚽ Gabriel Barbosa
54' ⚽ Philippe Coutinho
57' 🔄 In: Hulk
57' 🔄 In: Jefferson David Savarino Quintero
57' 🔄 In: Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
57' 🔄 In: Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
72' 🔄 In: Rony
72' 🔄 In: Christian Oliva
76' 🔄 In: Kevin Serna
83' 🔄 In: João Alencar Santos Paes da Costa
87' 🔄 In: Rafael Gonzaga
87' 🔄 In: Benjamín Rollheiser

Lineups

Fluminense Home
  • Fábio
  • Samuel Xavier
  • Ignacio
  • Igor Rabello
  • Renê
  • Hércules
  • Nonato
  • A. Canobbio
  • L. Acosta
  • Y. Soteldo
  • R. Castillo
Santos Away
  • Diógenes
  • Rodinei
  • Lucas Veríssimo
  • Luan Peres
  • Á. Barreal
  • Gabriel Bontempo
  • Gustavo Henrique Pereira
  • Philippe Coutinho
  • Neymar
  • Everton
  • Gabriel Barbosa

Fluminense Season

Rank#5
Points51
Matches Left7

Santos Season

Rank#8
Points45
Matches Left7

Fluminense Last 5

Santos 1 - 2
Flamengo 1 - 0
Coritiba 4 - 0
Corinthians 1 - 3
Atletico-MG 3 - 1

Santos Last 5

Fluminense 1 - 2
Atletico-MG 2 - 1
Flamengo 2 - 2
Sao Paulo 1 - 2
Remo 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Fluminense: 4 Draws: 1 Santos: 0
2026 Santos 2 - 3 Fluminense
2025 Santos 0 - 0 Fluminense
2025 Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos
2023 Santos 0 - 3 Fluminense
2023 Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos

Form Analysis

Fluminense
L W W L L
Santos
W W D L W

Fluminense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded2
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.67

Santos Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

Match Statistics

8Shots17
2Shots on Target5
4Corners5
46%Possession54%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense
1.84
Santos
0.89

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Fluminense vs Santos is a Brasileirão football match on October 18, 2026 at Maracanã. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWWLL) for Fluminense and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDLW) for Santos. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Maracanã

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Fluminense is currently #5 with 51 points from 31 matches, while Santos is #8 with 45 points from 31. Recent head-to-head history: Fluminense won 4, 1 were drawn and Santos won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Fluminense at 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per home match, versus Santos at 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.84 for Fluminense and 0.89 for Santos. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.