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Frosinone
W D W L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Lecce
L W L L W
1X2 Frosinone 44%
O/U Over 2.5 68%
DC 1X 83%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Frosinone 44% Draw 30% Lecce 26%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Frosinone and Lecce?

Our prediction for the Frosinone–Lecce match is: Frosinone to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Frosinone to win (44% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Frosinone

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Frosinone scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Lecce

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lecce scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Frosinone scored 2.00 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Lecce scored 1.40 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Raimondo contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.41/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Tiago Gabriel contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.28/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list M. Alvini for Frosinone and E. Di Francesco for Lecce. The latest recorded formations are Frosinone in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 16, 2026) and Lecce in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Frosinone averaged 44.0% possession and 19.8 shots per match (6.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Lecce averaged 43.4% possession and 11.8 shots (5.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Frosinone recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 3.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Lecce recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone).

Recent results show that Frosinone have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 1.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.84 — 1.48 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

146%Frosinone
X24%Draw
230%Lecce
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Frosinone
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Frosinone.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Lecce
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lecce.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Frosinone23%
Lecce16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Frosinone19%
Lecce12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Frosinone60%
Lecce40%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Frosinone
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 20%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 24%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Lecce
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 24%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 20%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.60%
#22-19.05%
#31-27.25%
#42-26.68%
#52-06.13%
Combined Top 539.71%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Frosinone + BTTS27%
Lecce + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Frosinone Season

Rank#6
Points13
Matches Left31

Lecce Season

Rank#12
Points9
Matches Left31

Frosinone Last 5

Sassuolo 4 - 2
Napoli 3 - 0
Como 2 - 0
Genoa 1 - 1
Venezia 3 - 2

Lecce Last 5

Udinese 0 - 3
Bologna 1 - 2
AC Milan 3 - 0
Monza 3 - 2
Cagliari 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Frosinone: 0 Draws: 2 Lecce: 3
2024 Frosinone 1 - 1 Lecce
2023 Lecce 2 - 1 Frosinone
2022 Lecce 1 - 0 Frosinone
2021 Frosinone 0 - 0 Lecce
2021 Frosinone 0 - 3 Lecce

Form Analysis

Frosinone
W L W D W
Lecce
W L L W L

Frosinone Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Lecce Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Frosinone
2.38
Lecce
1.19

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Frosinone vs Lecce is a Serie A football match on October 29, 2026 at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWDW) for Frosinone and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLWL) for Lecce. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 29 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio Benito Stirpe

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Frosinone is currently #6 with 13 points from 7 matches, while Lecce is #12 with 9 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Frosinone won 0, 2 were drawn and Lecce won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Frosinone at 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Lecce at 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.38 for Frosinone and 1.19 for Lecce.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.