OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 Bayer Leverkusen 44%
O/U Over 2.5 67%
DC X2 68%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
FSV Mainz 05 28% Draw 28% Bayer Leverkusen 44%
Premium Analysis Markets calculated by the calibrated M1.7 model.
M1.7 Calibrated xG 1.59 — 1.63 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Result
137%FSV Mainz 05
X25%Draw
238%Bayer Leverkusen
BTTS
Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under
O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 62%U 38%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals
FSV Mainz 05
0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Bayer Leverkusen
0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 0520%
Bayer Leverkusen20%
Win to Nil
FSV Mainz 0515%
Bayer Leverkusen16%
Draw No Bet
FSV Mainz 0549%
Bayer Leverkusen51%
Asian Handicap
FSV Mainz 05
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Bayer Leverkusen
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score
#1 1-111.15%
#2 1-28.42%
#3 2-18.22%
#4 2-26.69%
#5 0-15.93%
Combined Top 540.41%
Winner + BTTS
FSV Mainz 05 + BTTS22%
Bayer Leverkusen + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

FSV Mainz 05 Season

Rank#
Points7
Matches Left30

Bayer Leverkusen Season

Rank#
Points7
Matches Left30

FSV Mainz 05 Last 5

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3
Hamburger SV 0 - 5
SC Paderborn 07 0 - 0

Bayer Leverkusen Last 5

RB Leipzig 2 - 0
FC Augsburg 2 - 2
Union Berlin 4 - 0
SV Elversberg 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

FSV Mainz 05: 0 Draws: 2 Bayer Leverkusen: 3
2026 Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
2025 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen
2025 FSV Mainz 05 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen
2025 Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 FSV Mainz 05
2024 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05

Form Analysis

FSV Mainz 05
W L W D
Bayer Leverkusen
W D W L

FSV Mainz 05 Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored1
Goals conceded3
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Bayer Leverkusen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded5
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Bayer Leverkusen
1.89

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen is a Bundesliga football match on October 10, 2026 at their home ground. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWD) for FSV Mainz 05 and 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWL) for Bayer Leverkusen. This match preview combines the latest available team statistics, recent form and OPWIN analysis to provide useful context around the fixture.

📅 10 Oct 2026
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, FSV Mainz 05 is currently #— with 7 points from 4 matches, while Bayer Leverkusen is #— with 7 points from 4. Recent head-to-head data: FSV Mainz 05 won 0, 2 were drawn and Bayer Leverkusen won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows FSV Mainz 05 at 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Bayer Leverkusen at 2.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per away match. OPWIN estimates expected goals (xG) at 1.56 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.89 for Bayer Leverkusen.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.