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Genoa
L D L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Venezia
L L L L W
1X2 Venezia 38%
O/U Over 2.5 66%
DC 1X 71%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Genoa 36% Draw 25% Venezia 38%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Venezia?

Our prediction for the Genoa–Venezia match is: Genoa to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Venezia to win (38% confidence); over 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Genoa

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Genoa scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Venezia

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Venezia scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Genoa scored 1.00 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Venezia scored 1.20 and conceded 2.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Osmajić contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.13/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Hainaut contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.04/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists P. Vieira as coach of Genoa. The latest recorded formations are Genoa in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Venezia in 3-5-2 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Genoa averaged 42.4% possession and 11.8 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Venezia averaged 53.2% possession and 14.2 shots (4.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Genoa recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Venezia recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.00 points, 1.00 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).

Recent results show that Genoa have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 1.3 points per home match compared with 0.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.73 — 1.53 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Genoa
X24%Draw
234%Venezia
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Genoa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Genoa.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Venezia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Venezia.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Genoa22%
Venezia18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Genoa17%
Venezia13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Genoa55%
Venezia45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Genoa
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 24%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Venezia
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 24%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.95%
#22-18.76%
#31-27.77%
#42-26.71%
#51-06.05%
Combined Top 540.24%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Genoa + BTTS25%
Venezia + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Genoa Season

Rank#17
Points4
Matches Left31

Venezia Season

Rank#20
Points3
Matches Left31

Genoa Last 5

AS Roma 2 - 0
Fiorentina 2 - 1
Parma 2 - 1
Frosinone 1 - 1
Como 1 - 4

Venezia Last 5

Napoli 1 - 0
Atalanta 3 - 1
Lazio 0 - 2
Fiorentina 2 - 4
Frosinone 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Genoa: 3 Draws: 0 Venezia: 2
2025 Genoa 2 - 0 Venezia
2024 Venezia 2 - 0 Genoa
2024 Venezia 1 - 3 Genoa
2023 Genoa 1 - 4 Venezia
2023 Genoa 1 - 0 Venezia

Form Analysis

Genoa
L W L D L
Venezia
W L L L L

Genoa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Venezia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded8
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa
1.96
Venezia
1.49

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Genoa vs Venezia is a Serie A football match on October 25, 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLDL) for Genoa and 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: WLLLL) for Venezia. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Genoa is currently #17 with 4 points from 7 matches, while Venezia is #20 with 3 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Genoa won 3, 0 were drawn and Venezia won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Genoa at 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Venezia at 1.00 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.96 for Genoa and 1.49 for Venezia.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.