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Gremio

L D D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Cruzeiro

L W W L W
1X2 Cruzeiro 38%
O/U Over 2.5 63%
DC 1X 70%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Gremio 37% Draw 25% Cruzeiro 38%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.69 — 1.56 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Gremio
X25%Draw
235%Cruzeiro
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Gremio
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Gremio.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Cruzeiro
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cruzeiro.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Gremio21%
Cruzeiro18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Gremio17%
Cruzeiro14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Gremio54%
Cruzeiro46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Gremio
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 60%
0W 41%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Cruzeiro
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 41%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.04%
#22-18.63%
#31-27.96%
#42-26.71%
#51-05.99%
Combined Top 540.33%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Gremio + BTTS24%
Cruzeiro + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

17' ⚽ Carlos Vinícius
23' ⚽ Kaio Jorge
36' 🔄 In: Erick Noriega
41' ⚽ Cristian Pavón
48' ⚽ Kaio Jorge
61' ⚽ Kaio Jorge
66' 🔄 In: Martin Braithwaite
66' 🔄 In: Matheus Henrique
67' 🟥 João Marcelo
71' 🟥 Matheus Pereira
73' 🟥 Walter Kannemann
73' 🟥 Walter Kannemann
76' 🟥 Keny arroyo
79' 🔄 In: Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
80' ⚽ João Marcelo
90' 🔄 In: Tetê
90' 🔄 In: José Enamorado
90' 🔄 In: Bruno Rodrigues
90' 🔄 In: Luciano Rodríguez
90' 🔄 In: Fabrício Bruno

Lineups

Gremio Home
  • Weverton
  • Diego Caito
  • Gustavo Martins
  • W. Kannemann
  • Marlon
  • M. Villasanti
  • Danilo Barbosa
  • C. Pavón
  • F. Krovinović
  • F. Amuzu
  • Carlos Vinícius
Cruzeiro Away
  • Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
  • William
  • João Marcelo
  • Jonathan
  • L. Villalba
  • Zé Lucas
  • L. Romero
  • K. Arroyo
  • Matheus Pereira
  • Gerson
  • Kaio Jorge

Gremio Season

Rank#18
Points31
Matches Left7

Cruzeiro Season

Rank#4
Points51
Matches Left7

Gremio Last 5

Cruzeiro 2 - 4
Internacional 1 - 1
Remo 1 - 1
Palmeiras 0 - 0
Botafogo 3 - 2

Cruzeiro Last 5

Gremio 2 - 4
RB Bragantino 4 - 2
Sao Paulo 2 - 0
Vitoria 1 - 3
Santos 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Gremio: 1 Draws: 1 Cruzeiro: 3
2026 Gremio 3 - 1 Cruzeiro
2026 Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Gremio
2025 Gremio 0 - 1 Cruzeiro
2025 Cruzeiro 4 - 1 Gremio
2024 Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Gremio

Form Analysis

Gremio
L D D D L
Cruzeiro
W L W W L

Gremio Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.56
Goals scored25
Goals conceded21
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.31

Cruzeiro Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored24
Goals conceded30
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.88

Match Statistics

17Shots13
6Shots on Target6
8Corners9
40%Possession60%
1Yellow Cards3

Expected Goals (xG)

Gremio
1.83
Cruzeiro
1.42

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Gremio vs Cruzeiro is a Brasileirão football match on October 18, 2026 at Arena do Grêmio. Recent form is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: LDDDL) for Gremio and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WLWWL) for Cruzeiro. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Arena do Grêmio

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Gremio is currently #18 with 31 points from 31 matches, while Cruzeiro is #4 with 51 points from 31. Recent head-to-head history: Gremio won 1, 1 were drawn and Cruzeiro won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Gremio at 1.56 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per home match, versus Cruzeiro at 1.50 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.83 for Gremio and 1.42 for Cruzeiro. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 2 - 4).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.