What is the prediction for the football match between Groningen and Willem II?
Our prediction for the Groningen–Willem II match is: over 2.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Groningen to win (60% confidence); Groningen to win or draw (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)
Groningen
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Groningen scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 3.00 per match.
Willem II
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Willem II scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 4.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Groningen and Willem II average 3.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, B. Willumsson contributed 5 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.75/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Uriel van Aalst contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.35/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Groningen records a mean of 6.40/10 versus 6.14/10 for Willem II.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list D. Lukkien for Groningen and J. Stegeman for Willem II. The latest recorded formations are Groningen in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Willem II in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Groningen averaged 48.4% possession and 13.8 shots per match (5.6 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 9 matches, Willem II averaged 42.8% possession and 11.0 shots (2.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Groningen recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.80 points, 2.20 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. Away from home, Willem II recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.20 points, 1.00 goals scored and 3.80 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Eredivisie fixture takes place at Euroborg (Groningen).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Groningen: 0.8 points per home match compared with 1.3 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.