OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
1X2 Tigres UANL 40%
O/U Under 2.5 62%
DC X2 79%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Guadalajara Chivas 34% Draw 25% Tigres UANL 40%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.34 — 1.53 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

133%Guadalajara Chivas
X26%Draw
241%Tigres UANL
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 32%U 68%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Guadalajara Chivas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Guadalajara Chivas.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Tigres UANL
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Tigres UANL.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Guadalajara Chivas22%
Tigres UANL26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Guadalajara Chivas15%
Tigres UANL20%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Guadalajara Chivas44%
Tigres UANL56%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Guadalajara Chivas
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Tigres UANL
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.61%
#21-28.86%
#30-17.89%
#42-17.77%
#51-06.83%
Combined Top 543.96%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Guadalajara Chivas + BTTS17%
Tigres UANL + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

36' ⚽ Juan Brunetta
45' 🟥 Juan Brunetta
45' 🔄 In: Bryan Gonzalez
45' 🔄 In: Ricardo Marín
51' 🟥 Santiago Sandoval
62' 🔄 In: Emiliano Gómez
62' 🔄 In: Ricardo Monreal
62' 🔄 In: Jesús Garza
62' 🔄 In: Richard Ledezma
67' 🟥 Fernando González
72' 🔄 In: Jordan Carrillo
75' 🔄 In: Vladimir Loroña
77' ⚽ Jordan Carrillo
86' 🔄 In: Jesús Hernández
87' 🔄 In: Jonathan Herrera

Lineups

Guadalajara Chivas Home
  • J. Rangel
  • D. Aguirre
  • L. Rey
  • D. Campillo
  • R. Alvarado
  • R. González
  • B. Gutiérrez
  • L. Calderon
  • Santiago Sandoval
  • E. Álvarez
  • Á. Sepúlveda
Tigres UANL Away
  • N. Guzmán
  • A. Franco
  • Joaquim
  • R. Guerrero
  • M. Laínez
  • C. Araújo
  • F. Gorriarán
  • D. Sánchez
  • D. Lainez
  • R. Aguirre
  • J. Brunetta

Guadalajara Chivas Season

Rank#2
Points23
Matches Left25

Tigres UANL Season

Rank#14
Points14
Matches Left25

Guadalajara Chivas Last 5

Necaxa 1 - 0
Tigres UANL 1 - 1
Atlas 1 - 1
Club Queretaro 0 - 2
Club America 2 - 2

Tigres UANL Last 5

Leon 0 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1
Toluca 3 - 2
Puebla 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Guadalajara Chivas: 1 Draws: 2 Tigres UANL: 2
2026 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 0 Tigres UANL
2026 Tigres UANL 3 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas
2026 Tigres UANL 4 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas
2025 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 0 Tigres UANL
2025 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Tigres UANL

Form Analysis

Guadalajara Chivas
W D D L D
Tigres UANL
L D W W L

Guadalajara Chivas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.57
Goals scored11
Goals conceded7
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Tigres UANL Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.71
Goals scored5
Goals conceded11
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.57

Match Statistics

30Shots7
6Shots on Target3
10Corners6
69%Possession31%
2Yellow Cards0

Expected Goals (xG)

Guadalajara Chivas
0.81
Tigres UANL
1.40

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL is a Football football match on October 17, 2026 at Estadio AKRON. Recent form is 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: WDDLD) for Guadalajara Chivas and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LDWWL) for Tigres UANL. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio AKRON

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Guadalajara Chivas is currently #2 with 23 points from 13 matches, while Tigres UANL is #14 with 14 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Guadalajara Chivas won 1, 2 were drawn and Tigres UANL won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Guadalajara Chivas at 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Tigres UANL at 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.81 for Guadalajara Chivas and 1.40 for Tigres UANL. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 1 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.