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Guingamp

L L W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Rodez

L L W W L
1X2 Guingamp 53%
O/U Over 2.5 58%
DC 1X 77%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Guingamp 53% Draw 21% Rodez 26%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Guingamp and Rodez?

Our prediction for the Guingamp–Rodez match is: Guingamp to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Guingamp to win (53% confidence); over 2.5 goals (58% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Guingamp

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Guingamp scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Rodez

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Rodez scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Guingamp scored 1.20 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Rodez scored 0.60 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Averlant contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.93/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, K. Nagera contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.38/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Guingamp records a mean of 6.74/10 versus 6.53/10 for Rodez.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Guingamp in 4-4-2 (Nov 6, 2026) and Rodez in 5-3-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Guingamp averaged 46.8% possession and 12.9 shots per match (4.9 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 8 matches, Rodez averaged 38.8% possession and 14.4 shots (4.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Guingamp recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Rodez recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 2 fixture takes place at Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Guingamp: 1.4 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.67 — 1.46 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Guingamp
X25%Draw
233%Rodez
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Guingamp
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Guingamp.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Rodez
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Rodez.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Guingamp23%
Rodez19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Guingamp18%
Rodez14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Guingamp56%
Rodez44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Guingamp
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 25%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Rodez
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 25%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.65%
#22-18.86%
#31-27.78%
#41-06.56%
#52-26.48%
Combined Top 541.33%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Guingamp + BTTS24%
Rodez + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Guingamp Season

Rank#11
Points14
Matches Left26

Rodez Season

Rank#13
Points13
Matches Left26

Guingamp Last 5

Dunkerque 3 - 0
Saint Etienne 3 - 0
Clermont Foot 0 - 2
PAU 1 - 2
Nancy 1 - 0

Rodez Last 5

Clermont Foot 1 - 0
Dunkerque 1 - 0
Dijon 1 - 2
Montpellier 0 - 3
Saint Etienne 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Guingamp: 2 Draws: 2 Rodez: 1
2026 Guingamp 0 - 0 Rodez
2025 Rodez 2 - 1 Guingamp
2025 Guingamp 3 - 0 Rodez
2024 Rodez 1 - 2 Guingamp
2024 Guingamp 3 - 3 Rodez

Form Analysis

Guingamp
L W W L L
Rodez
L W W L L

Guingamp Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Rodez Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored8
Goals conceded12
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guingamp
1.84
Rodez
1.19

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Guingamp vs Rodez is a Football football match on November 20, 2026 at Stade du Roudourou. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWWLL) for Guingamp and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWWLL) for Rodez. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Stade du Roudourou

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Guingamp is currently #11 with 14 points from 12 matches, while Rodez is #13 with 13 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Guingamp won 2, 2 were drawn and Rodez won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Guingamp at 1.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Rodez at 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.84 for Guingamp and 1.19 for Rodez.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.