OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Privacy
Home

Houston Dynamo
D L D D D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Minnesota United FC
L L D D W
1X2 Houston Dynamo 41%
O/U Over 2.5 75%
DC 1X 69%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Houston Dynamo 41% Draw 23% Minnesota United FC 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC?

Our prediction for the Houston Dynamo–Minnesota United FC match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Houston Dynamo to win (41% confidence); Houston Dynamo to win or draw (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Houston Dynamo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Houston Dynamo scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Minnesota United FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Minnesota United FC scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC average 3.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Guilherme contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.60/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, K. Yeboah contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.77/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Paulo Nagamura for Houston Dynamo and C. Knowles for Minnesota United FC. The latest recorded formations are Houston Dynamo in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026) and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Houston Dynamo averaged 52.6% possession and 13.1 shots per match (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 8 matches, Minnesota United FC averaged 45.6% possession and 14.6 shots (4.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Houston Dynamo recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Minnesota United FC recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 2.25 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Shell Energy Stadium (Houston).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Houston Dynamo: 1.2 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.77 — 1.59 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Houston Dynamo
X24%Draw
234%Minnesota United FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Houston Dynamo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Houston Dynamo.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Minnesota United FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Minnesota United FC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Houston Dynamo20%
Minnesota United FC17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Houston Dynamo16%
Minnesota United FC13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Houston Dynamo55%
Minnesota United FC45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Houston Dynamo
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 24%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Minnesota United FC
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 24%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.61%
#22-18.62%
#31-27.77%
#42-26.86%
#51-05.51%
Combined Top 539.37%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Houston Dynamo + BTTS25%
Minnesota United FC + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Houston Dynamo Season

Rank#5
Points47
Matches Left8

Minnesota United FC Season

Rank#13
Points34
Matches Left8

Houston Dynamo Last 5

FC Dallas 2 - 2
San Diego 3 - 3
Minnesota United FC 2 - 2
Sporting Kansas City 0 - 2
FC Cincinnati 2 - 2

Minnesota United FC Last 5

St. Louis City 3 - 2
Colorado Rapids 2 - 2
Houston Dynamo 2 - 2
Seattle Sounders 3 - 1
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 3

Head-to-Head

Houston Dynamo: 2 Draws: 2 Minnesota United FC: 1
2026 Minnesota United FC 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo
2025 Minnesota United FC 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo
2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - 0 Minnesota United FC
2024 Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 Minnesota United FC
2024 Minnesota United FC 1 - 2 Houston Dynamo

Form Analysis

Houston Dynamo
D D D L D
Minnesota United FC
W D D L L

Houston Dynamo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.27
Goals scored19
Goals conceded14
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.93

Minnesota United FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.87
Goals scored28
Goals conceded35
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.33

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Houston Dynamo
2.23
Minnesota United FC
1.78

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at Shell Energy Stadium. Recent form is 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses (form: DDDLD) for Houston Dynamo and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WDDLL) for Minnesota United FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 Shell Energy Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Houston Dynamo is currently #5 with 47 points from 30 matches, while Minnesota United FC is #13 with 34 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Houston Dynamo won 2, 2 were drawn and Minnesota United FC won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Houston Dynamo at 1.27 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per home match, versus Minnesota United FC at 1.87 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.23 for Houston Dynamo and 1.78 for Minnesota United FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.