OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 3-1
Away

Gimnasia L.P.

D W W W W
1X2 Gimnasia L.P. 39%
O/U Over 2.5 84%
DC 1X 76%
BTTS Yes 69%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Independ. Rivadavia 32% Draw 29% Gimnasia L.P. 39%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.91 — 1.63 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Independ. Rivadavia
X23%Draw
233%Gimnasia L.P.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes69%
No31%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 69%U 31%
O/U 3.5O 47%U 53%
O/U 4.5O 28%U 72%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Independ. Rivadavia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Independ. Rivadavia.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 57%U 43%
2.5O 30%U 70%
3.5O 13%U 87%
Gimnasia L.P.
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Gimnasia L.P..

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Independ. Rivadavia20%
Gimnasia L.P.15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Independ. Rivadavia16%
Gimnasia L.P.11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Independ. Rivadavia57%
Gimnasia L.P.43%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Independ. Rivadavia
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 19%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 23%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 16%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Gimnasia L.P.
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 16%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 23%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 19%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.76%
#22-18.61%
#31-27.34%
#42-27.02%
#53-15.49%
Combined Top 538.22%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Independ. Rivadavia + BTTS28%
Gimnasia L.P. + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

5' ⚽ Juan Elordi
23' 🟥 Matías Fernández
45' 🔄 In: Ezequiel Bonifacio
51' 🟥 Ignacio Miramon
62' 🔄 In: Iván Villalba
66' 🔄 In: Franco Ramón Torres
66' 🔄 In: Rodrigo Agustín Colazo
70' 🔄 In: Gonzalo Rios
70' 🔄 In: Matías Melluso
80' 🔄 In: Marcelo Torres
80' 🔄 In: Alexis Steimbach
81' 🔄 In: Leonel Bucca
81' 🔄 In: Alessandro Riep
86' ⚽ Rodrigo Agustín Colazo
86' ⚽
90' 🟥 Sheyko Darko Studer
90' 🟥 Agustin Auzmendi

Lineups

Independ. Rivadavia Home
  • Nicolás Bolcato
  • L. Gómez
  • L. Costa
  • S. Studer
  • J. Elordi
  • M. Fernández
  • T. Bottari
  • J. Florentín
  • L. Sequeira
  • F. Sartori
  • M. Salas
Gimnasia L.P. Away
  • N. Insfrán
  • B. Barros Schelotto
  • R. Giampaoli
  • E. Martínez
  • P. Silva
  • I. Miramón
  • M. Seoane
  • M. Zalazar
  • I. Fernández
  • L. Janson
  • A. Auzmendi

Independ. Rivadavia Season

Rank#4
Points57
Matches Left6

Gimnasia L.P. Season

Rank#5
Points57
Matches Left6

Independ. Rivadavia Last 5

Gimnasia M. 1 - 1
Banfield 3 - 1
Argentinos JRS 1 - 0
Tigre 2 - 2
Rosario Central 5 - 0

Gimnasia L.P. Last 5

Belgrano Cordoba 2 - 1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1 - 2
Sarmiento Junin 2 - 0
Huracan 1 - 2
Atletico Tucuman 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Independ. Rivadavia: 3 Draws: 1 Gimnasia L.P.: 1
2026 Gimnasia L.P. 2 - 3 Independ. Rivadavia
2024 Independ. Rivadavia 1 - 0 Gimnasia L.P.
2024 Gimnasia L.P. 2 - 3 Independ. Rivadavia
2013 Gimnasia L.P. 3 - 0 Independ. Rivadavia
2012 Independ. Rivadavia 1 - 1 Gimnasia L.P.

Form Analysis

Independ. Rivadavia
D W L D L
Gimnasia L.P.
W W W W D

Independ. Rivadavia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Gimnasia L.P. Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

21Shots15
6Shots on Target4
5Corners3
47%Possession53%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Independ. Rivadavia
3.10
Gimnasia L.P.
1.95

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P. is a Football football match on October 2, 2026 at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLDL) for Independ. Rivadavia and 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWD) for Gimnasia L.P.. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Independ. Rivadavia is currently #4 with 57 points from 32 matches, while Gimnasia L.P. is #5 with 57 points from 32. Recent head-to-head history: Independ. Rivadavia won 3, 1 were drawn and Gimnasia L.P. won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Independ. Rivadavia at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Gimnasia L.P. at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.10 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.95 for Gimnasia L.P.. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.