OpWin.

Home

Inter

W D W L W
VS
AI Predicts: 3-2
Away

Fiorentina

L W D L L
1X2 Inter 58%
O/U Over 2.5 85%
DC 1X 72%
BTTS Yes 71%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Inter 58% Draw 24% Fiorentina 19%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Inter and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Inter–Fiorentina match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Inter to win (58% confidence); Inter to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (71% confidence)

Inter

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Inter scored an average of 3.20 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Fiorentina

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Fiorentina scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Inter and Fiorentina average 4.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Thuram contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.58/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Franco Mastantuono contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.15/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Inter records a mean of 6.89/10 versus 6.47/10 for Fiorentina.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list C. Chivu for Inter and F. Grosso for Fiorentina. The latest recorded formations are Inter in 3-5-2 (Oct 17, 2026) and Fiorentina in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Inter averaged 60.0% possession and 22.7 shots per match (8.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Fiorentina averaged 45.8% possession and 16.4 shots (6.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.97 — 1.69 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Inter
X23%Draw
233%Fiorentina
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes71%
No29%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 89%U 11%
O/U 2.5O 71%U 29%
O/U 3.5O 50%U 50%
O/U 4.5O 31%U 70%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Inter
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 86%

The model assigns 86% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Inter.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 86%U 14%
1.5O 59%U 41%
2.5O 32%U 68%
3.5O 14%U 86%
Fiorentina
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Fiorentina.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Inter18%
Fiorentina14%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Inter15%
Fiorentina11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Inter57%
Fiorentina43%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Inter
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 19%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 23%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 16%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Fiorentina
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 16%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 23%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 19%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.20%
#22-18.43%
#31-27.21%
#42-27.12%
#53-15.54%
Combined Top 537.50%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Inter + BTTS29%
Fiorentina + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Inter Season

Rank#1
Points19
Matches Left31

Fiorentina Season

Rank#18
Points4
Matches Left31

Inter Last 5

Bologna 1 - 3
Club Brugge KV 3 - 4
Parma 3 - 0
AS Roma 2 - 2
Udinese 5 - 3

Fiorentina Last 5

Como 1 - 3
Genoa 2 - 1
Napoli 1 - 1
Venezia 2 - 4
Torino 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Inter: 0 Draws: 1 Fiorentina: 4
2026 Fiorentina 1 - 1 Inter
2025 Inter 3 - 0 Fiorentina
2025 Inter 2 - 1 Fiorentina
2025 Fiorentina 3 - 0 Inter
2024 Fiorentina 0 - 1 Inter

Form Analysis

Inter
W W D W W
Fiorentina
L L D W L

Inter Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.75
Goals scored15
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Fiorentina Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded8
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter
3.04
Fiorentina
2.22

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Inter vs Fiorentina is a Serie A football match on October 25, 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Recent form is 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDWW) for Inter and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDWL) for Fiorentina. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Inter is currently #1 with 19 points from 7 matches, while Fiorentina is #18 with 4 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Inter won 0, 1 were drawn and Fiorentina won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Inter at 3.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Fiorentina at 1.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.04 for Inter and 2.22 for Fiorentina.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.