OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

De Graafschap

L W D W L
1X2 De Graafschap 50%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC X2 80%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Jong Ajax 25% Draw 24% De Graafschap 50%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.42 — 1.60 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

133%Jong Ajax
X26%Draw
241%De Graafschap
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Jong Ajax
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Jong Ajax.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%
De Graafschap
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for De Graafschap.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Jong Ajax20%
De Graafschap24%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Jong Ajax15%
De Graafschap19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Jong Ajax45%
De Graafschap55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Jong Ajax
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
De Graafschap
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.97%
#21-28.85%
#32-17.84%
#40-17.12%
#52-26.29%
Combined Top 542.07%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Jong Ajax + BTTS19%
De Graafschap + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' 🟥 Marvyn Muzungu
21' 🟥 Ryan van de Pavert
43' ⚽ emre unuvar
45' ⚽ Donny Warmerdam
60' 🔄 In: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
60' 🔄 In: Bjorn van Zijl
60' 🔄 In: Julian kania
72' 🟥 Rowan Besselink
72' 🔄 In: Anass Moumane
78' 🔄 In: Nart Ahmeti-Grainca
78' 🔄 In: Sinclair de Falco
78' 🔄 In: Levi Acheampong
79' ⚽ Jano Monserrate
85' 🔄 In: Mylo van der Lans
85' 🔄 In: Jinairo Johnson
85' 🔄 In: Clint Leemans

Lineups

Jong Ajax Home
  • C. Setford
  • R. van de Pavert
  • G. Spina
  • M. Muzungu
  • J. Amour
  • Alejandro Monserrate
  • T. Peters
  • Mohamed Abdalla
  • Leo Salazar
  • E. Ünüvar
  • P. Nash
De Graafschap Away
  • T. Wieggers
  • N. Martens
  • R. Besselink
  • T. Kok
  • L. Schoppema
  • F. de Jong
  • M. Diemers
  • D. Warmerdam
  • Gabriele Finocchiaro
  • Kyano Kwint
  • T. Mero

Jong Ajax Season

Rank#18
Points0
Matches Left38

De Graafschap Season

Rank#1
Points0
Matches Left38

Jong Ajax Last 5

De Graafschap 2 - 1
VVV Venlo 0 - 3
Roda 0 - 0

De Graafschap Last 5

Jong Ajax 2 - 1
Jong Utrecht 2 - 1
FC Eindhoven 2 - 2
Den Bosch 1 - 0
NAC Breda 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Jong Ajax: 2 Draws: 1 De Graafschap: 2
2026 De Graafschap 4 - 0 Jong Ajax
2025 Jong Ajax 2 - 2 De Graafschap
2025 De Graafschap 2 - 0 Jong Ajax
2024 Jong Ajax 2 - 0 De Graafschap
2024 De Graafschap 0 - 2 Jong Ajax

Form Analysis

Jong Ajax
W
De Graafschap
L

Jong Ajax Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

De Graafschap Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

19Shots11
11Shots on Target5
5Corners5
43%Possession57%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Jong Ajax
1.00
De Graafschap
1.84

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap is a Football football match on October 19, 2026 at Sportpark De Toekomst. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: W) for Jong Ajax and 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: L) for De Graafschap. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Sportpark De Toekomst

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Jong Ajax is currently #18 with 0 points from 0 matches, while De Graafschap is #1 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: Jong Ajax won 2, 1 were drawn and De Graafschap won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Jong Ajax at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus De Graafschap at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.00 for Jong Ajax and 1.84 for De Graafschap. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 2 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.