OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-0
1X2 Kasımpaşa 51%
O/U Under 2.5 97%
DC 1X 88%
BTTS No 55%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Kasımpaşa 51% Draw 30% Samsunspor 19%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.16 — 1.02 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Kasımpaşa
X31%Draw
231%Samsunspor
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes45%
No55%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 2.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 3.5O 18%U 82%
O/U 4.5O 7%U 93%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Kasımpaşa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Kasımpaşa.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 89%

A different goal line with 89% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 69%U 31%
1.5O 32%U 68%
2.5O 11%U 89%
3.5O 3%U 97%
Samsunspor
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 98%

The model assigns 98% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Samsunspor.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 92%

A different goal line with 92% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 64%U 36%
1.5O 27%U 73%
2.5O 8%U 92%
3.5O 2%U 98%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Kasımpaşa36%
Samsunspor31%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Kasımpaşa24%
Samsunspor19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Kasımpaşa55%
Samsunspor45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Kasımpaşa
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 22%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 31%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 19%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Samsunspor
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 19%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 31%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 22%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-114.45%
#21-012.31%
#30-012.06%
#40-110.65%
#52-17.75%
Combined Top 557.22%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Kasımpaşa + BTTS14%
Samsunspor + BTTS12%
Draw + BTTS19%

Match Timeline

26' ⚽ C. Winck
31' ⚽ A. Arous
45' ⚽ T. Coulibaly
46' 🔄 In: A. Sousa
51' 🟥 E. Belozoglu
55' 🟥 A. Sousa
58' ⚽
64' ⚽ A. Arous
70' 🔄 In: S. Erakovic
70' 🔄 In: A. Sekongo
78' ⚽ A. Benedyczak
79' 🟥 E. Mendes
82' 🔄 In: T. Diarra
82' 🔄 In: G. Yalcin
83' 🔄 In: H. Hajradinovic
86' 🔄 In: K. Mouanga
86' 🔄 In: M. Rafferty
86' 🔄 In: E. Tavsan
86' 🔄 In: S. Jarju
89' 🟥 E. Watt

Lineups

Kasımpaşa Home
  • Andreas Gianniotis
  • Cláudio Winck
  • Adem Arous
  • Matei Ilie
  • Ayberk Karapo
  • Andri Fannar Baldursson
  • Kerem Demirbay
  • Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
  • Elson Mendes
  • Ali Yavuz Kol
  • Adrian Benedyczak
Samsunspor Away
  • Okan Kocuk
  • Josafat Mendes
  • Yunus Emre Çift
  • Gabriele Guarino
  • Logi Tomasson
  • Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
  • Elliot Watt
  • Tanguy Coulibaly
  • Yalçın Kayan
  • Emre Kılınç
  • Mohamed Bayo

Kasımpaşa Season

Rank#8
Points13
Matches Left30

Samsunspor Season

Rank#17
Points4
Matches Left30

Kasımpaşa Last 5

Samsunspor 4 - 1
Galatasaray 3 - 1
Konyaspor 0 - 0

Samsunspor Last 5

Kasımpaşa 4 - 1
Trabzonspor 0 - 3
Erzurumspor FK 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Kasımpaşa: 2 Draws: 1 Samsunspor: 2
2026 Kasımpaşa 3 - 0 Samsunspor
2026 Kasımpaşa 0 - 1 Samsunspor
2025 Samsunspor 0 - 0 Kasımpaşa
2025 Samsunspor 0 - 2 Kasımpaşa
2024 Kasımpaşa 1 - 4 Samsunspor

Form Analysis

Kasımpaşa
W L D W D
Samsunspor
L L L L L

Kasımpaşa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Samsunspor Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

22Shots6
8Shots on Target3
8Corners4
54%Possession46%
0Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Kasımpaşa
0.50
Samsunspor
0.20

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor is a Football football match on October 18, 2026 at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WLDWD) for Kasımpaşa and 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for Samsunspor. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Kasımpaşa is currently #8 with 13 points from 8 matches, while Samsunspor is #17 with 4 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: Kasımpaşa won 2, 1 were drawn and Samsunspor won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Kasımpaşa at 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Samsunspor at 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.50 for Kasımpaşa and 0.20 for Samsunspor. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 4 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.