What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Parma?
Our prediction for the Lazio–Parma match is: Lazio to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Lazio to win (62% confidence); over 1.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Lazio
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lazio scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.
Parma
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Parma scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Lazio scored 2.40 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Parma scored 0.80 and conceded 2.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Noslin contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.16/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Pontus Almqvist contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.88/10 across 3 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Lazio records a mean of 7.04/10 versus 6.39/10 for Parma.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists G. Gattuso as coach of Lazio. The latest recorded formations are Lazio in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026) and Parma in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 19, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Lazio averaged 50.4% possession and 12.8 shots per match (4.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 5 matches, Parma averaged 43.2% possession and 11.6 shots (3.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 3 recent home matches, Lazio recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.33 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Parma recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.00 points, 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Olimpico (Rome).
Lazio's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 0 defeats in 3 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 3.0 away.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.