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Le Mans

D D W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Toulouse

L D W D W
1X2 Le Mans 43%
O/U Over 2.5 70%
DC 1X 65%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Le Mans 43% Draw 25% Toulouse 32%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy25%
Premium Expected goals 1.67 — 1.58 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Le Mans
X25%Draw
236%Toulouse
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Le Mans
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Le Mans.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Toulouse
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Toulouse.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Le Mans21%
Toulouse19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Le Mans16%
Toulouse14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Le Mans53%
Toulouse47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Le Mans
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Toulouse
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.04%
#22-18.53%
#31-28.06%
#42-26.73%
#51-05.87%
Combined Top 540.23%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Le Mans + BTTS24%
Toulouse + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

46' ⚽ Jacen Russell-Rowe
49' 🟥 Jacen Russell-Rowe
59' ⚽ Aron Dønnum
61' 🔄 In: Lucas Calodat
61' 🔄 In: Habib Diallo
61' 🔄 In: Bilal Brahimi
64' 🔄 In: Alexis Vossah
69' 🔄 In: Rayan Bamba
76' 🔄 In: Julián Vignolo
77' 🔄 In: Noa Boissé
78' ⚽
85' 🔄 In: Seny Koumbassa
87' ⚽ Casper Tengstedt
90' 🟥 Samuel Yohou
90' 🟥 Djibril Sidibé

Lineups

Le Mans Home
  • N. Kocik
  • D. Sidibé
  • S. Yohou
  • H. Voyer
  • L. Bretelle
  • L. Buadés
  • D. Traoré
  • J. Vercruysse
  • Y. Larouci
  • D. Guèye
  • L. Mafouta
Toulouse Away
  • G. Restes
  • R. Messali
  • M. McKenzie
  • R. Nicolaisen
  • C. Tapé
  • C. Cásseres
  • N. Sigur
  • A. Dønnum
  • C. Tengstedt
  • T. Jørgensen
  • J. Russell-Rowe

Le Mans Season

Rank#16
Points6
Matches Left27

Toulouse Season

Rank#11
Points9
Matches Left27

Le Mans Last 5

Toulouse 0 - 3
Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1
Lorient 2 - 1
Lens 2 - 2
Nice 1 - 1

Toulouse Last 5

Le Mans 0 - 3
Monaco 2 - 2
Le Havre 3 - 2
Lorient 2 - 2
Lille 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Le Mans
L L W D D
Toulouse
W D W D L

Le Mans Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Toulouse Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

11Shots13
1Shots on Target5
2Corners2
53%Possession47%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Mans
1.92
Toulouse
1.73

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Le Mans vs Toulouse is a Ligue 1 football match on October 16, 2026 at Stade Marie-Marvingt. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWDD) for Le Mans and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWDL) for Toulouse. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stade Marie-Marvingt

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Le Mans is currently #16 with 6 points from 7 matches, while Toulouse is #11 with 9 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Le Mans at 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Toulouse at 2.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.92 for Le Mans and 1.73 for Toulouse. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 25% (result: 0 - 3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.