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Leganes
W L L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Mallorca
W L D W D
1X2 Mallorca 60%
O/U Under 2.5 83%
DC X2 80%
BTTS No 48%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Leganes 20% Draw 20% Mallorca 60%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Leganes and Mallorca?

Our prediction for the Leganes–Mallorca match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Mallorca to win (60% confidence); Mallorca to win or draw (80% confidence); both teams to score: no (48% confidence)

Leganes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Leganes scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Mallorca

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Mallorca scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Leganes and Mallorca average 1.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Ismaël Gharbi contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.91/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Fuentes contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.24/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Mallorca records a mean of 6.80/10 versus 6.18/10 for Leganes.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Borja Jiménez for Leganes and Arrasate for Mallorca. The latest recorded formations are Leganes in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 16, 2026) and Mallorca in 4-4-2 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Leganes averaged 46.6% possession and 12.0 shots per match (3.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 7 matches, Mallorca averaged 51.4% possession and 12.4 shots (4.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Leganes recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.50 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Mallorca recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.50 points, 0.50 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).

Recent results show that Leganes have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 1.5 points per home match compared with 0.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.17 — 1.38 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

131%Leganes
X28%Draw
241%Mallorca
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes52%
No48%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 73%U 27%
O/U 2.5O 47%U 53%
O/U 3.5O 25%U 75%
O/U 4.5O 12%U 88%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Leganes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Leganes.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 89%

A different goal line with 89% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 69%U 31%
1.5O 33%U 68%
2.5O 11%U 89%
3.5O 3%U 97%
Mallorca
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Mallorca.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Leganes25%
Mallorca31%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Leganes17%
Mallorca23%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Leganes43%
Mallorca57%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Leganes
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 18%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 28%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 21%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Mallorca
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 21%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 28%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 18%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.57%
#20-110.04%
#31-28.68%
#40-08.50%
#51-08.38%
Combined Top 549.17%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Leganes + BTTS14%
Mallorca + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Leganes Season

Rank#17
Points11
Matches Left28

Mallorca Season

Rank#6
Points18
Matches Left28

Leganes Last 5

Cordoba 0 - 1
Almeria 3 - 0
Cadiz 4 - 0
Castellón 0 - 2
Granada CF 3 - 2

Mallorca Last 5

Eibar 1 - 1
Las Palmas 3 - 1
Girona 0 - 0
Almeria 0 - 1
Real Sociedad II 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Leganes: 0 Draws: 2 Mallorca: 3
2025 Mallorca 0 - 0 Leganes
2024 Leganes 0 - 1 Mallorca
2021 Mallorca 1 - 0 Leganes
2020 Leganes 0 - 1 Mallorca
2020 Mallorca 1 - 1 Leganes

Form Analysis

Leganes
L L L L W
Mallorca
D W D L W

Leganes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Mallorca Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.40
Goals scored2
Goals conceded3
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes
0.52
Mallorca
0.90

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Leganes vs Mallorca is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLLLW) for Leganes and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWDLW) for Mallorca. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Leganes is currently #17 with 11 points from 10 matches, while Mallorca is #6 with 18 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Leganes won 0, 2 were drawn and Mallorca won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Leganes at 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Mallorca at 0.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.52 for Leganes and 0.90 for Mallorca.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.