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Lincoln
W L L L D
VS
AI Predicts: 0-2
Away

Burnley
L D W D L
1X2 Burnley 65%
O/U Over 2.5 69%
DC X2 92%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Lincoln 18% Draw 17% Burnley 65%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Lincoln and Burnley?

Our prediction for the Lincoln–Burnley match is: Burnley to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Burnley to win (65% confidence); over 2.5 goals (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Lincoln

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lincoln scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.

Burnley

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Burnley scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Lincoln scored 0.80 and conceded 2.60 per match across 5 covered games; Burnley scored 1.80 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, R. Hackett contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.81/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, J. Bruun Larsen contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.27/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Burnley records a mean of 6.79/10 versus 6.02/10 for Lincoln.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list M. Skubala for Lincoln and S. Parker for Burnley. The latest recorded formations are Lincoln in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Burnley in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 16, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Lincoln averaged 38.3% possession and 9.5 shots per match (2.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Burnley averaged 46.8% possession and 15.3 shots (4.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Championship fixture takes place at LNER stadium (Lincoln).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Lincoln, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.35 — 1.76 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

129%Lincoln
X25%Draw
246%Burnley
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Lincoln
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lincoln.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Burnley
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Burnley.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Lincoln17%
Burnley26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Lincoln12%
Burnley21%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Lincoln38%
Burnley62%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Lincoln
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 16%L 71%
-0.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
0W 29%P 25%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 21%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Burnley
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 21%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 25%L 29%
+0.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
+1W 71%P 16%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.46%
#21-29.30%
#30-17.16%
#42-17.13%
#50-26.88%
Combined Top 541.93%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Lincoln + BTTS17%
Burnley + BTTS26%
Draw + BTTS20%

Lincoln Season

Rank#18
Points12
Matches Left27

Burnley Season

Rank#22
Points8
Matches Left27

Lincoln Last 5

Millwall 2 - 2
West Ham 0 - 6
Sheffield Utd 3 - 0
Swansea 1 - 2
Bristol City 0 - 1

Burnley Last 5

Wolves 1 - 2
Charlton 2 - 2
Watford 0 - 4
Derby 1 - 1
Swansea 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Lincoln: 1 Draws: 0 Burnley: 0
2017 Burnley 0 - 1 Lincoln

Form Analysis

Lincoln
D L L L W
Burnley
L D W D L

Lincoln Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.60
Goals scored3
Goals conceded12
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.40

Burnley Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.60
Goals scored8
Goals conceded11
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lincoln
0.87
Burnley
2.85

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Lincoln vs Burnley is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at LNER Stadium. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: DLLLW) for Lincoln and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDWDL) for Burnley. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 LNER Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Lincoln is currently #18 with 12 points from 11 matches, while Burnley is #22 with 8 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Lincoln won 1, 0 were drawn and Burnley won 0 across the last 1 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Lincoln at 0.60 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per home match, versus Burnley at 1.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.87 for Lincoln and 2.85 for Burnley.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.