OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Privacy
Home

Liverpool
W L W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-3
Away

Brighton
D W W W W
1X2 Brighton 41%
O/U Over 2.5 82%
DC X2 81%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Liverpool 34% Draw 25% Brighton 41%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Liverpool–Brighton match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Brighton to win (41% confidence); Brighton to win or draw (81% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

Liverpool

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Liverpool scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Brighton

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Brighton scored an average of 3.20 goals and conceded 0.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Liverpool and Brighton average 5.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 2 recent recorded appearances, K. Tsimikas contributed 0 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.26/10 across 2 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, P. Groß contributed 2 goal(s) and 4 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.63/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists F. Hürzeler as coach of Brighton. The latest recorded formations are Liverpool in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 20, 2026) and Brighton in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Liverpool averaged 52.8% possession and 16.5 shots per match (5.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Brighton averaged 54.2% possession and 17.8 shots (6.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Liverpool recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.60 points, 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Brighton recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 3.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Premier League fixture takes place at Anfield (Liverpool).

Liverpool's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 1 defeats in 5 home matches, averaging 1.6 points per home match compared with 3.0 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.63 — 1.79 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Liverpool
X24%Draw
241%Brighton
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 45%U 55%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Liverpool
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Liverpool.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Brighton
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Brighton.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Liverpool17%
Brighton20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Liverpool13%
Brighton16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Liverpool46%
Brighton54%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Liverpool
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 17%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Brighton
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 17%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.24%
#21-28.52%
#32-17.76%
#42-26.95%
#50-15.30%
Combined Top 538.77%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Liverpool + BTTS22%
Brighton + BTTS26%
Draw + BTTS20%

Liverpool Season

Rank#5
Points12
Matches Left31

Brighton Season

Rank#3
Points16
Matches Left31

Liverpool Last 5

Villarreal 4 - 3
Brentford 1 - 2
Lask Linz 3 - 6
Manchester City 0 - 3
Bournemouth 0 - 1

Brighton Last 5

Crystal Palace 5 - 0
Sunderland 0 - 2
Arsenal 3 - 0
Coventry 0 - 5
Leeds 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Liverpool: 3 Draws: 0 Brighton: 2
2026 Brighton 2 - 1 Liverpool
2026 Liverpool 3 - 0 Brighton
2025 Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton
2025 Brighton 3 - 2 Liverpool
2024 Liverpool 2 - 1 Brighton

Form Analysis

Liverpool
W L W D W
Brighton
W W W W D

Liverpool Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.67
Goals scored2
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Brighton Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.33
Goals scored10
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool
1.70
Brighton
3.10

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Liverpool vs Brighton is a Premier League football match on October 25, 2026 at Anfield. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWDW) for Liverpool and 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWD) for Brighton. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Anfield

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Liverpool is currently #5 with 12 points from 7 matches, while Brighton is #3 with 16 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Liverpool won 3, 0 were drawn and Brighton won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Liverpool at 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Brighton at 3.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.70 for Liverpool and 3.10 for Brighton.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.