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Liverpool
W W L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Manchester United
L L L W D
1X2 Liverpool 61%
O/U Over 1.5 81%
DC 1X 77%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Liverpool 61% Draw 18% Manchester United 21%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Manchester United?

Our prediction for the Liverpool–Manchester United match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Liverpool to win (61% confidence); Liverpool to win or draw (77% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Liverpool

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Liverpool scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Manchester United

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Manchester United scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 3.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Liverpool and Manchester United average 3.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Isak contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.24/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Bruno Fernandes contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.76/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Liverpool records a mean of 6.69/10 versus 6.41/10 for Manchester United.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Liverpool in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Manchester United in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, Liverpool averaged 52.4% possession and 17.0 shots per match (5.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 12 matches, Manchester United averaged 50.6% possession and 16.4 shots (5.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 7 recent home matches, Liverpool recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.57 points, 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match. Away from home, Manchester United recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in 6 matches, averaging 0.50 points, 0.83 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Premier League fixture takes place at Anfield (Liverpool).

Liverpool's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 7 home matches, averaging 1.6 points per home match compared with 2.5 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.69 — 1.46 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Liverpool
X25%Draw
233%Manchester United
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Liverpool
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Liverpool.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Manchester United
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Manchester United.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Liverpool23%
Manchester United18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Liverpool18%
Manchester United14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Liverpool57%
Manchester United43%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Liverpool
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 78%
-1W 23%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 25%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Manchester United
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 25%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.34%
#22-18.93%
#31-27.69%
#41-06.71%
#52-26.50%
Combined Top 541.17%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Liverpool + BTTS24%
Manchester United + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Liverpool Season

Rank#4
Points18
Matches Left28

Manchester United Season

Rank#18
Points8
Matches Left28

Liverpool Last 5

Crystal Palace 1 - 3
Fenerbahçe 3 - 2
Arsenal 0 - 1
Brighton 2 - 0
Villarreal 4 - 3

Manchester United Last 5

Aston Villa 4 - 4
AS Roma 3 - 2
Chelsea 2 - 0
Bournemouth 0 - 3
Como 4 - 1

Head-to-Head

Liverpool: 2 Draws: 1 Manchester United: 2
2026 Manchester United 3 - 2 Liverpool
2025 Liverpool 1 - 2 Manchester United
2025 Liverpool 2 - 2 Manchester United
2024 Manchester United 0 - 3 Liverpool
2024 Manchester United 0 - 3 Liverpool

Form Analysis

Liverpool
W L W W L
Manchester United
D L L D D

Liverpool Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.80
Goals scored4
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Manchester United Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.80
Goals scored4
Goals conceded8
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool
1.85
Manchester United
1.15

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Liverpool vs Manchester United is a Premier League football match on November 22, 2026 at Anfield. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WLWWL) for Liverpool and 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: DLLDD) for Manchester United. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Anfield

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Liverpool is currently #4 with 18 points from 10 matches, while Manchester United is #18 with 8 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Liverpool won 2, 1 were drawn and Manchester United won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Liverpool at 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Manchester United at 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.85 for Liverpool and 1.15 for Manchester United.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.