OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Miami FC

W L L D L
1X2 Louisville City 40%
O/U Under 3.5 80%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Louisville City 40% Draw 26% Miami FC 34%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.54 — 1.40 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Louisville City
X26%Draw
234%Miami FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Louisville City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Louisville City.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Miami FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Miami FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Louisville City25%
Miami FC21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Louisville City19%
Miami FC16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Louisville City54%
Miami FC46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Louisville City
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 26%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Miami FC
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 26%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.28%
#22-18.73%
#31-27.98%
#41-07.45%
#50-16.76%
Combined Top 543.20%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Louisville City + BTTS21%
Miami FC + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

19' ⚽ A. Rocha
32' ⚽ R. Tori
58' 🟥 R. Tori
61' 🟥 A. Rogers
64' 🔄 In: H. Al Zubaidi
65' 🔄 In: G. Diaz
65' 🔄 In: J. Morris
65' 🔄 In: B. Dayes
78' 🔄 In: Z. Duncan
78' 🔄 In: T. Showunmi
79' ⚽ C. Donovan
80' 🔄 In: Tulu
88' 🔄 In: A. Calfo
90' ⚽ R. Serrano
90' ⚽ T. Showunmi

Louisville City Season

Rank#4
Points47
Matches Left8

Miami FC Season

Rank#8
Points36
Matches Left8

Louisville City Last 5

Miami FC 3 - 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 - 0
Detroit City 0 - 0
Sporting JAX 0 - 2
Indy Eleven 4 - 1

Miami FC Last 5

Louisville City 3 - 2
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 1
Charleston Battery 1 - 2
Loudoun United 0 - 2
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Louisville City: 4 Draws: 0 Miami FC: 1
2026 Miami FC 4 - 3 Louisville City
2026 Louisville City 4 - 1 Miami FC
2025 Louisville City 1 - 0 Miami FC
2025 Miami FC 2 - 4 Louisville City
2024 Louisville City 3 - 0 Miami FC

Form Analysis

Louisville City
W W D W W
Miami FC
L W L L W

Louisville City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.47
Goals scored22
Goals conceded17
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.13

Miami FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.93
Goals scored14
Goals conceded22
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.47

Match Statistics

Match statistics are not available for this fixture yet.

Expected Goals (xG)

Louisville City
1.37
Miami FC
0.95

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Louisville City vs Miami FC is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Lynn Family Stadium. Recent form is 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDWW) for Louisville City and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLLW) for Miami FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Lynn Family Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Louisville City is currently #4 with 47 points from 30 matches, while Miami FC is #8 with 36 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Louisville City won 4, 0 were drawn and Miami FC won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Louisville City at 1.47 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per home match, versus Miami FC at 0.93 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.37 for Louisville City and 0.95 for Miami FC. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 3 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.