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Lyon
L L W D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Lillestrom
D L L
1X2 Lyon 55%
O/U Under 3.5 79%
DC 1X 78%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Lyon 55% Draw 22% Lillestrom 24%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Lillestrom?

Our prediction for the Lyon–Lillestrom match is: under 3.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Lyon to win (55% confidence); Lyon to win or draw (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)

Lyon

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lyon scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Lillestrom

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Lillestrom scored an average of 0.33 goals and conceded 2.67 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Lyon and Lillestrom average 0.93 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 3.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, C. Tolisso contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.41/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, T. Lehne Olsen contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.07/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Lyon records a mean of 6.70/10 versus 6.41/10 for Lillestrom.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Paulo Fonseca as coach of Lyon. The latest recorded formations are Lyon in 4-3-3 (Nov 8, 2026) and Lillestrom in 4-3-3 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Lyon averaged 52.6% possession and 12.0 shots per match (4.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 3 matches, Lillestrom averaged 51.7% possession and 11.3 shots (2.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This UEFA Europa League fixture takes place at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon).

Recent results show that Lyon have a stronger record at home than away: 5 wins in 7 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 0.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.59 — 1.38 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Lyon
X26%Draw
232%Lillestrom
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Lyon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lyon.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Lillestrom
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lillestrom.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Lyon25%
Lillestrom20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Lyon19%
Lillestrom15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Lyon56%
Lillestrom44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Lyon
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 26%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Lillestrom
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 26%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.19%
#22-18.94%
#31-27.73%
#41-07.50%
#52-06.50%
Combined Top 542.86%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Lyon + BTTS22%
Lillestrom + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Lyon Season

Rank#13
Points7
Matches Left34

Lillestrom Season

Rank#34
Points1
Matches Left34

Lyon Last 5

Stade Brestois 29 2 - 0
Real Sociedad 1 - 1
Angers 2 - 0
Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0
1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0

Lillestrom Last 5

Plzen 0 - 1
Real Sociedad 0 - 6
Sparta Praha 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Lyon
D L W W
Lillestrom
L L D L

Lyon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded2
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Lillestrom Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored1
Goals conceded1
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lyon
1.47
Lillestrom
0.88

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Lyon vs Lillestrom is a Europa League football match on November 26, 2026 at Groupama Stadium. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: DLWW) for Lyon and 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDL) for Lillestrom. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Groupama Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Lyon is currently #13 with 7 points from 4 matches, while Lillestrom is #34 with 1 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Lyon at 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Lillestrom at 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.47 for Lyon and 0.88 for Lillestrom.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.