What is the prediction for the football match between Mantova and Arezzo?
Our prediction for the Mantova–Arezzo match is: Arezzo to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Mantova to win (49% confidence); under 2.5 goals (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (57% confidence)
Mantova
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Mantova scored an average of 0.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
Arezzo
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Arezzo scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Mantova scored 0.40 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Arezzo scored 0.60 and conceded 1.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 4 recent recorded appearances, E. Gliozzi contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.03/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, L. Chierico contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.84/10 across 3 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Mantova records a mean of 6.55/10 versus 6.34/10 for Arezzo.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The latest recorded formations are Mantova in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Arezzo in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Mantova averaged 53.6% possession and 14.3 shots per match (4.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Arezzo averaged 45.4% possession and 10.6 shots (2.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Mantova recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.50 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Arezzo recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova).
Mantova's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 0.5 points per home match compared with 2.3 away.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.