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Middlesbrough
D W W L D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Bristol City
L D W L L
1X2 Middlesbrough 61%
O/U Over 2.5 66%
DC 1X 78%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Middlesbrough 61% Draw 18% Bristol City 21%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Bristol City?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough–Bristol City match is: Middlesbrough to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Middlesbrough to win (61% confidence); over 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Middlesbrough

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Middlesbrough scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Bristol City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bristol City scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Middlesbrough scored 2.00 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Bristol City scored 0.80 and conceded 2.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, W. Lankshear contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.71/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, S. Twine contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.78/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Middlesbrough records a mean of 6.69/10 versus 6.34/10 for Bristol City.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list R. Edwards for Middlesbrough and G. Struber for Bristol City. The latest recorded formations are Middlesbrough in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and Bristol City in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Middlesbrough averaged 60.5% possession and 20.1 shots per match (6.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 10 matches, Bristol City averaged 46.5% possession and 13.7 shots (4.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Middlesbrough recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.20 points, 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Bristol City recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.25 points, 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Championship fixture takes place at Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

Recent results show that Middlesbrough have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 2.2 points per home match compared with 1.6 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.77 — 1.48 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Middlesbrough
X24%Draw
232%Bristol City
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Middlesbrough
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Middlesbrough.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Bristol City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bristol City.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Middlesbrough23%
Bristol City17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Middlesbrough18%
Bristol City13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Middlesbrough58%
Bristol City42%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Middlesbrough
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 24%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Bristol City
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 24%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.90%
#22-18.98%
#31-27.49%
#42-26.63%
#51-06.35%
Combined Top 540.35%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Middlesbrough + BTTS26%
Bristol City + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Middlesbrough Season

Rank#2
Points29
Matches Left23

Bristol City Season

Rank#17
Points18
Matches Left23

Middlesbrough Last 5

Watford 0 - 0
Wrexham 2 - 0
Charlton 3 - 0
Bolton 1 - 5
Cardiff 2 - 2

Bristol City Last 5

Norwich 0 - 5
Wolves 1 - 2
Bolton 2 - 3
Stoke City 0 - 0
Sheffield Utd 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Middlesbrough: 0 Draws: 1 Bristol City: 4
2026 Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Bristol City
2025 Bristol City 2 - 0 Middlesbrough
2025 Bristol City 2 - 1 Middlesbrough
2024 Middlesbrough 0 - 2 Bristol City
2024 Middlesbrough 1 - 2 Bristol City

Form Analysis

Middlesbrough
D L W W D
Bristol City
L L W D L

Middlesbrough Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.43
Goals scored17
Goals conceded9
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.29

Bristol City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.71
Goals scored12
Goals conceded11
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.57

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Middlesbrough
2.16
Bristol City
1.28

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Riverside Stadium. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DLWWD) for Middlesbrough and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWDL) for Bristol City. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Riverside Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Middlesbrough is currently #2 with 29 points from 15 matches, while Bristol City is #17 with 18 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: Middlesbrough won 0, 1 were drawn and Bristol City won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Middlesbrough at 2.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per home match, versus Bristol City at 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.16 for Middlesbrough and 1.28 for Bristol City.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.