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Middlesbrough

D W W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Cardiff

L W L W D
1X2 Middlesbrough 48%
O/U Over 2.5 64%
DC 1X 82%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Middlesbrough 48% Draw 27% Cardiff 25%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.78 — 1.46 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Middlesbrough
X24%Draw
231%Cardiff
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Middlesbrough
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Middlesbrough.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Cardiff
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cardiff.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Middlesbrough23%
Cardiff17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Middlesbrough19%
Cardiff12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Middlesbrough59%
Cardiff41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Middlesbrough
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 24%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Cardiff
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 24%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.92%
#22-19.02%
#31-27.44%
#42-26.61%
#51-06.39%
Combined Top 540.38%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Middlesbrough + BTTS26%
Cardiff + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

19' 🟥 Brian Barry-Murphy
22' ⚽ Jack Moylan
25' 🟥 Joel Bagan
45' ⚽ Ollie·Tanner
45' 🔄 In: will lankshear
45' 🔄 In: Sebastian Berhalter
45' 🔄 In: David Turnbull
58' ⚽ Tommy Conway
61' ⚽ will lankshear
63' 🔄 In: William Fish
73' 🔄 In: Calum Scanlon
74' 🔄 In: Max Arfsten
79' 🔄 In: Isaak Davies
79' 🔄 In: Myles Peart-Harris
83' 🟥 Gabriel Osho
88' 🟥 Jack Moylan
89' 🔄 In: Jeremy Sarmiento

Lineups

Middlesbrough Home
  • R. Vítek
  • C. Brittain
  • L. Ayling
  • A. Phillips
  • Neto Borges
  • A. Morris
  • A. Malanda
  • A. Cozier-Duberry
  • R. McGree
  • T. Conway
  • K. Joseph
Cardiff Away
  • N. Trott
  • R. Kpakio
  • K. Bielik
  • G. Osho
  • J. Bagan
  • A. Robertson
  • O. Tanner
  • J. Colwill
  • Cian Ashford
  • C. Willock
  • J. Moylan

Middlesbrough Season

Rank#1
Points25
Matches Left26

Cardiff Season

Rank#19
Points11
Matches Left27

Middlesbrough Last 5

Bolton 1 - 5
Cardiff 2 - 2
Stoke City 2 - 3
Wolves 1 - 0
Birmingham 2 - 2

Cardiff Last 5

Middlesbrough 2 - 2
Watford 5 - 1
Blackburn 2 - 1
Charlton 3 - 1
Bolton 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Middlesbrough: 4 Draws: 1 Cardiff: 0
2025 Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Cardiff
2024 Cardiff 0 - 2 Middlesbrough
2024 Cardiff 1 - 4 Middlesbrough
2023 Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Cardiff
2023 Cardiff 1 - 3 Middlesbrough

Form Analysis

Middlesbrough
D W W D W
Cardiff
L W L W D

Middlesbrough Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded7
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.75

Cardiff Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

36Shots7
12Shots on Target3
11Corners4
57%Possession43%
0Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Middlesbrough
2.21
Cardiff
1.14

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff is a Football football match on October 17, 2026 at Riverside Stadium. Recent form is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWDW) for Middlesbrough and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLWD) for Cardiff. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Riverside Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Middlesbrough is currently #1 with 25 points from 12 matches, while Cardiff is #19 with 11 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Middlesbrough won 4, 1 were drawn and Cardiff won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Middlesbrough at 2.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per home match, versus Cardiff at 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.21 for Middlesbrough and 1.14 for Cardiff. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 2 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.