OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 St. Louis City 52%
O/U Over 2.5 75%
DC X2 84%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Minnesota United FC 28% Draw 20% St. Louis City 52%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.50 — 1.77 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Minnesota United FC
X24%Draw
244%St. Louis City
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Minnesota United FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Minnesota United FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
St. Louis City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for St. Louis City.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Minnesota United FC17%
St. Louis City22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Minnesota United FC13%
St. Louis City18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Minnesota United FC42%
St. Louis City58%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Minnesota United FC
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 24%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
St. Louis City
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 24%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.93%
#21-28.92%
#32-17.54%
#42-26.67%
#50-16.13%
Combined Top 540.19%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Minnesota United FC + BTTS20%
St. Louis City + BTTS26%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

4' ⚽ Rafael Navarro Leal
10' ⚽ Sang-bin Jung
24' 🟥 Aziel Jackson
26' 🟥 Miguel Perez
45' 🔄 In: Daniel Edelman
45' 🔄 In: Rafael Santos
49' ⚽ Aziel Jackson
51' 🟥 Sang-bin Jung
68' ⚽ Kelvin Yeboah
69' 🔄 In: Damion Downs
69' 🔄 In: Lukas MacNaughton
70' 🔄 In: Marcus Caldeira
79' 🔄 In: Joaquín Pereyra
82' 🔄 In: Tomas Ostrak
86' ⚽ Marcus Caldeira
90' 🟥 Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
90' 🔄 In: Tomás Chancalay
90' 🔄 In: Michael Boxall

Lineups

Minnesota United FC Home
  • D. Callender
  • Cherrion Valerius
  • J. Díaz
  • M. Duggan
  • B. Hlongwane
  • N. Triantis
  • W. Trapp
  • A. Markanich
  • M. Gonzalez
  • A. Jackson
  • K. Yeboah
St. Louis City Away
  • R. Bürki
  • J. Orozco
  • T. Baumgartl
  • F. Fall
  • M. Joyner
  • D. Polvara
  • M. Perez
  • T. Totland
  • Jeong Sang-Bin
  • S. Becher
  • Rafael Navarro

Minnesota United FC Season

Rank#13
Points34
Matches Left8

St. Louis City Season

Rank#2
Points51
Matches Left8

Minnesota United FC Last 5

St. Louis City 3 - 2
Colorado Rapids 2 - 2
Houston Dynamo 2 - 2
Seattle Sounders 3 - 1
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 3

St. Louis City Last 5

Minnesota United FC 3 - 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 6 - 2
New York Red Bulls 0 - 3
Toronto FC 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Minnesota United FC: 3 Draws: 1 St. Louis City: 1
2026 St. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC
2025 St. Louis City 1 - 2 Minnesota United FC
2025 Minnesota United FC 3 - 2 St. Louis City
2025 Minnesota United FC 3 - 0 St. Louis City
2025 Minnesota United FC - St. Louis City

Form Analysis

Minnesota United FC
W D D L L
St. Louis City
L D W W W

Minnesota United FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.27
Goals scored19
Goals conceded20
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

St. Louis City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.47
Goals scored22
Goals conceded22
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.47

Match Statistics

27Shots15
11Shots on Target6
6Corners7
45%Possession55%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Minnesota United FC
1.31
St. Louis City
2.80

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City is a Football football match on October 17, 2026 at Allianz Field. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WDDLL) for Minnesota United FC and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LDWWW) for St. Louis City. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Allianz Field

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Minnesota United FC is currently #13 with 34 points from 30 matches, while St. Louis City is #2 with 51 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Minnesota United FC won 3, 1 were drawn and St. Louis City won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Minnesota United FC at 1.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match, versus St. Louis City at 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.31 for Minnesota United FC and 2.80 for St. Louis City. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 3 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.