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Modena

W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
1X2 Modena 49%
O/U Over 1.5 80%
DC 1X 90%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Modena 49% Draw 28% Cesena 22%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Modena and Cesena?

Our prediction for the Modena–Cesena match is: Modena to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Modena to win (49% confidence); over 1.5 goals (80% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Modena

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Modena scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.67 per match.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, A. Belotti contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.44/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 2 recent recorded appearances, A. Fiori contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.18/10 across 2 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Modena records a mean of 6.76/10 versus 6.52/10 for Cesena.

Match context

The coaching matchup recorded for this fixture is A. Sottil with Modena against M. Mignani with Cesena.

This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Modena, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.78 — 1.33 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

147%Modena
X25%Draw
228%Cesena
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Modena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Modena.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Cesena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cesena.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Modena26%
Cesena17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Modena21%
Cesena12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Modena63%
Cesena37%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Modena
-1.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
-1W 26%P 21%L 53%
-0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
0W 47%P 25%L 28%
+0.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
+1W 72%P 16%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Cesena
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 16%L 72%
-0.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
0W 28%P 25%L 47%
+0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
+1W 53%P 21%L 26%
+1.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.49%
#22-19.37%
#31-07.28%
#42-07.06%
#51-27.00%
Combined Top 542.20%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Modena + BTTS26%
Cesena + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

Modena Season

Rank#4
Points13
Matches Left31

Cesena Season

Rank#12
Points8
Matches Left31

Modena Last 5

Carrarese 2 - 1
Hellas Verona 3 - 2
Empoli 2 - 1

Cesena Last 5

Avellino 1 - 1
Benevento 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Modena: 1 Draws: 2 Cesena: 2
2026 Modena 0 - 0 Cesena
2025 Cesena 1 - 0 Modena
2025 Modena 0 - 1 Cesena
2024 Cesena 2 - 2 Modena
2022 Modena 1 - 0 Cesena

Form Analysis

Modena
L W W D L
Cesena
D L D D D

Modena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Cesena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Modena
2.26
Cesena
0.73

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Modena vs Cesena is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWWDL) for Modena and 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDDD) for Cesena. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio Alberto Braglia

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Modena is currently #4 with 13 points from 7 matches, while Cesena is #12 with 8 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Modena won 1, 2 were drawn and Cesena won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Modena at 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match, versus Cesena at 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.26 for Modena and 0.73 for Cesena.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.