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Modena

L W W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Hellas Verona

D D W W D
1X2 Modena 44%
O/U Over 2.5 66%
DC 1X 82%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Modena 44% Draw 24% Hellas Verona 31%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.77 — 1.46 Reliability 20%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Modena
X24%Draw
231%Hellas Verona
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Modena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Modena.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Hellas Verona
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Hellas Verona.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Modena23%
Hellas Verona17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Modena19%
Hellas Verona12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Modena59%
Hellas Verona41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Modena
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 24%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Hellas Verona
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 24%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.04%
#22-19.02%
#31-27.44%
#42-26.59%
#51-06.35%
Combined Top 540.44%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Modena + BTTS26%
Hellas Verona + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

13' ⚽ Giuseppe Caso
16' 🟥 Alessandro Bianco
24' ⚽ Daniel Mosquera
28' ⚽ Daniel Mosquera
45' 🟥 andrea le borgne
53' 🔄 In: Francesco Folino
53' 🔄 In: Andrea Belotti
54' 🟥 Andrias Edmundsson
62' ⚽
68' 🔄 In: Antoine Bernede
68' 🔄 In: Domagoj Bradaric
68' 🔄 In: Kacper Sezonienko
74' 🔄 In: Nicolo Calabrese
77' 🟥 Andrias Edmundsson
79' 🔄 In: Tobias Slotsager
81' 🔄 In: Daniele Montevago
85' ⚽ Daniele Montevago
89' 🔄 In: Wisdom Acquah
90' ⚽ Andrea Belotti
90' 🟥 Andrea Belotti

Lineups

Modena Home
  • L. Chichizola
  • D. Tonoli
  • S. Nador
  • B. Nieling
  • G. Olzer
  • A. Bianco
  • G. Brugman
  • S. Santoro
  • Paulo Azzi
  • G. Ambrosino
  • G. Caso
Hellas Verona Away
  • S. Perilli
  • G. Zappa
  • P. Dawidowicz
  • A. Edmundsson
  • D. De Battisti
  • A. Le Borgne
  • E. Iannoni
  • N. Lella
  • A. Sarr
  • D. Livramento
  • D. Mosquera

Modena Season

Rank#2
Points23
Matches Left27

Hellas Verona Season

Rank#7
Points16
Matches Left27

Modena Last 5

Virtus Entella 0 - 2
Mantova 1 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 1 - 2
Cesena 3 - 0
Carrarese 2 - 1

Hellas Verona Last 5

Mantova 0 - 0
Carrarese 3 - 0
Juve Stabia 0 - 1
Pisa 1 - 1
Catanzaro 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Modena: 0 Draws: 0 Hellas Verona: 1
2021 Hellas Verona 3 - 2 Modena

Form Analysis

Modena
L W W D W
Hellas Verona
D D W W D

Modena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Hellas Verona Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

23Shots14
6Shots on Target7
3Corners4
62%Possession38%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Modena
2.30
Hellas Verona
1.15

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Modena vs Hellas Verona is a Football football match on October 11, 2026 at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWDW) for Modena and 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: DDWWD) for Hellas Verona. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Alberto Braglia

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Modena is currently #2 with 23 points from 11 matches, while Hellas Verona is #7 with 16 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Modena won 0, 0 were drawn and Hellas Verona won 1 across the last 1 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Modena at 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Hellas Verona at 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.30 for Modena and 1.15 for Hellas Verona. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 3 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.