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Monterrey

W L D W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

CF Pachuca

D L D L L
1X2 Monterrey 39%
O/U Under 2.5 87%
DC 1X 93%
BTTS No 51%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Monterrey 39% Draw 25% CF Pachuca 35%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.42 — 1.02 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%Monterrey
X28%Draw
226%CF Pachuca
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes49%
No51%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 71%U 29%
O/U 2.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 3.5O 23%U 77%
O/U 4.5O 10%U 90%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Monterrey
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Monterrey.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%
CF Pachuca
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 98%

The model assigns 98% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for CF Pachuca.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 92%

A different goal line with 92% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 64%U 36%
1.5O 27%U 73%
2.5O 8%U 92%
3.5O 2%U 98%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Monterrey36%
CF Pachuca24%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Monterrey27%
CF Pachuca15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Monterrey63%
CF Pachuca37%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Monterrey
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 23%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 28%L 26%
+0.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
+1W 74%P 16%L 10%
+1.5W 90%P 0%L 10%
CF Pachuca
-1.5W 10%P 0%L 90%
-1W 10%P 16%L 74%
-0.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
0W 26%P 28%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 23%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.50%
#21-011.63%
#30-09.29%
#42-18.95%
#52-08.75%
Combined Top 552.12%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Monterrey + BTTS19%
CF Pachuca + BTTS12%
Draw + BTTS19%

Match Timeline

13' ⚽ Lucas Ocampos
13' ⚽ Diego Rossi
16' ⚽ Jesús Corona
22' 🟥 Lucas Ocampos
56' 🟥 Rodolfo Pizarro
63' 🔄 In: Cristóbal Hernández
71' 🔄 In: Lucas Orellano
72' 🔄 In: Óliver Torres
75' ⚽ Salomón Rondón
78' 🔄 In: Stefan Medina
78' 🔄 In: Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez
81' 🔄 In: Gael Álvarez
84' 🟥 Sergio Barreto
85' 🟥 Gerardo Arteaga
85' 🟥 Carlos Moreno
87' 🔄 In: Sebastian Santos
87' 🔄 In: Illian Hernández
88' 🟥 Óliver Torres
89' 🔄 In: Jorge Rodríguez

Lineups

Monterrey Home
  • E. Andrada
  • R. Chávez
  • V. Guzmán
  • C. Salcedo
  • G. Arteaga
  • Cesar Garza Cantu
  • O. Pineda
  • D. Rossi
  • J. Corona
  • L. Ocampos
  • H. Cuypers
CF Pachuca Away
  • C. Moreno
  • J. Berlanga
  • Eduardo Bauermann
  • S. Barreto
  • M. Isaís
  • N. Vallejo
  • C. Rivera
  • Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
  • O. Idrissi
  • R. Pizarro
  • S. Rondón

Monterrey Season

Rank#7
Points20
Matches Left26

CF Pachuca Season

Rank#16
Points13
Matches Left25

Monterrey Last 5

Puebla 1 - 4
CF Pachuca 2 - 1
Club America 1 - 1
Atlante FC 4 - 2
Cruz Azul 1 - 0

CF Pachuca Last 5

Cruz Azul 1 - 2
Monterrey 2 - 1
Necaxa 3 - 3
Santos Laguna 1 - 0
Club Tijuana 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Monterrey: 1 Draws: 0 CF Pachuca: 4
2026 Monterrey 1 - 3 CF Pachuca
2025 CF Pachuca 3 - 0 Monterrey
2025 Monterrey 1 - 2 CF Pachuca
2025 Monterrey 2 - 3 CF Pachuca
2024 CF Pachuca 0 - 1 Monterrey

Form Analysis

Monterrey
W W D L W
CF Pachuca
L L D L D

Monterrey Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.17
Goals scored13
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

CF Pachuca Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.43
Goals scored10
Goals conceded5
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.71

Match Statistics

10Shots11
4Shots on Target3
3Corners8
52%Possession48%
3Yellow Cards3

Expected Goals (xG)

Monterrey
1.02
CF Pachuca
0.20

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca is a Football football match on October 18, 2026 at Estadio BBVA. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDLW) for Monterrey and 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDLD) for CF Pachuca. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio BBVA

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Monterrey is currently #7 with 20 points from 12 matches, while CF Pachuca is #16 with 13 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Monterrey won 1, 0 were drawn and CF Pachuca won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Monterrey at 2.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home match, versus CF Pachuca at 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.02 for Monterrey and 0.20 for CF Pachuca. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 2 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.