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MVV
L W L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

VVV Venlo
W L W W D
1X2 VVV Venlo 62%
O/U Over 2.5 76%
DC X2 85%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
MVV 21% Draw 18% VVV Venlo 62%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between MVV and VVV Venlo?

Our prediction for the MVV–VVV Venlo match is: VVV Venlo to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

VVV Venlo to win (62% confidence); over 2.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

MVV

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, MVV scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 3.20 per match.

VVV Venlo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, VVV Venlo scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): MVV scored 1.00 and conceded 3.20 per match across 5 covered games; VVV Venlo scored 2.80 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Wegen contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.63/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Lars de Blok contributed 0 goal(s) and 4 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.19/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, VVV Venlo records a mean of 6.81/10 versus 6.28/10 for MVV.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are MVV in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and VVV Venlo in 5-4-1 (Oct 16, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, MVV averaged 56.4% possession and 8.8 shots per match (1.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 5 matches, VVV Venlo averaged 53.0% possession and 19.0 shots (7.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at De Geusselt (Maastricht).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for MVV, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.49 — 1.80 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

131%MVV
X24%Draw
245%VVV Venlo
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

MVV
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for MVV.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
VVV Venlo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for VVV Venlo.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

MVV16%
VVV Venlo22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

MVV12%
VVV Venlo18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

MVV41%
VVV Venlo59%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

MVV
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 24%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
VVV Venlo
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 24%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.68%
#21-28.97%
#32-17.42%
#42-26.69%
#50-16.15%
Combined Top 539.91%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

MVV + BTTS19%
VVV Venlo + BTTS26%
Draw + BTTS20%

MVV Season

Rank#8
Points0
Matches Left38

VVV Venlo Season

Rank#3
Points22
Matches Left38

MVV Last 5

Heracles 1 - 5
NAC Breda 1 - 0
FC OSS 4 - 1
Helmond Sport 2 - 0
Waalwijk 6 - 1

VVV Venlo Last 5

Jong AZ 4 - 4
Jong Ajax 0 - 3
Roda 2 - 0
FC Volendam 3 - 2
Jong Utrecht 1 - 3

Head-to-Head

MVV: 3 Draws: 1 VVV Venlo: 1
2026 MVV 2 - 1 VVV Venlo
2025 VVV Venlo 1 - 0 MVV
2025 VVV Venlo 0 - 0 MVV
2024 MVV 2 - 0 VVV Venlo
2024 MVV 2 - 0 VVV Venlo

Form Analysis

MVV
L
VVV Venlo
D W W L W

MVV Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

VVV Venlo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.40
Goals scored12
Goals conceded8
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

MVV
1.32
VVV Venlo
2.83

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

MVV vs VVV Venlo is a Football football match on October 31, 2026 at De Geusselt. Recent form is 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: L) for MVV and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: DWWLW) for VVV Venlo. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 31 Oct 2026
📍 De Geusselt

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, MVV is currently #8 with 0 points from 0 matches, while VVV Venlo is #3 with 22 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: MVV won 3, 1 were drawn and VVV Venlo won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows MVV at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus VVV Venlo at 2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.32 for MVV and 2.83 for VVV Venlo.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.