OpWin.

Home

NAC Breda

W W D W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Heracles

L W D W W
1X2 NAC Breda 39%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
NAC Breda 39% Draw 25% Heracles 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between NAC Breda and Heracles?

Our prediction for the NAC Breda–Heracles match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

NAC Breda to win (39% confidence); NAC Breda to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

NAC Breda

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, NAC Breda scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Heracles

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Heracles scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, NAC Breda and Heracles average 4.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, C. Brym contributed 6 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.77/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. N'djoli contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.45/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists E. Faber as coach of Heracles. The latest recorded formations are NAC Breda in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 16, 2026) and Heracles in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, NAC Breda averaged 52.8% possession and 17.8 shots per match (7.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Heracles averaged 58.6% possession and 23.8 shots (8.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for NAC Breda, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.77 — 1.65 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%NAC Breda
X24%Draw
236%Heracles
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

NAC Breda
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for NAC Breda.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Heracles
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Heracles.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

NAC Breda19%
Heracles17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

NAC Breda15%
Heracles13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

NAC Breda53%
Heracles47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

NAC Breda
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Heracles
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.27%
#22-18.43%
#31-27.87%
#42-26.96%
#51-05.26%
Combined Top 538.79%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

NAC Breda + BTTS25%
Heracles + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

NAC Breda Season

Rank#13
Points0
Matches Left38

Heracles Season

Rank#16
Points0
Matches Left38

NAC Breda Last 5

Helmond Sport 0 - 2
MVV 1 - 0
Vitesse 2 - 2
FC Eindhoven 4 - 2
De Graafschap 1 - 2

Heracles Last 5

MVV 1 - 5
Waalwijk 3 - 0
Helmond Sport 2 - 2
Vitesse 2 - 0
Almere City FC 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

NAC Breda: 2 Draws: 1 Heracles: 2
2026 Heracles 0 - 1 NAC Breda
2025 NAC Breda 1 - 4 Heracles
2025 NAC Breda 2 - 1 Heracles
2025 NAC Breda 1 - 1 Heracles
2024 Heracles 2 - 0 NAC Breda

Form Analysis

NAC Breda
W
Heracles
W

NAC Breda Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Heracles Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

NAC Breda
2.29
Heracles
1.93

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Heracles is a Football football match on October 23, 2026 at Rat Verlegh Stadion. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: W) for NAC Breda and 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: W) for Heracles. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 23 Oct 2026
📍 Rat Verlegh Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, NAC Breda is currently #13 with 0 points from 0 matches, while Heracles is #16 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: NAC Breda won 2, 1 were drawn and Heracles won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows NAC Breda at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Heracles at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.29 for NAC Breda and 1.93 for Heracles.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.