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Nashville SC
W W W W D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Philadelphia Union
W W W W D
1X2 Nashville SC 50%
O/U Over 2.5 83%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 69%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Nashville SC 50% Draw 24% Philadelphia Union 26%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union?

Our prediction for the Nashville SC–Philadelphia Union match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Nashville SC to win (50% confidence); Nashville SC to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (69% confidence)

Nashville SC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nashville SC scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.

Philadelphia Union

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Philadelphia Union scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union average 5.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, H. Mukhtar contributed 6 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.60/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Iloski contributed 7 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.06/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Nashville SC records a mean of 7.04/10 versus 6.81/10 for Philadelphia Union.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists J. Curtin as coach of Philadelphia Union. The latest recorded formations are Nashville SC in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nashville SC averaged 53.8% possession and 15.8 shots per match (6.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Philadelphia Union averaged 49.3% possession and 18.0 shots (6.8 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Nashville SC recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 3.25 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Philadelphia Union recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in 4 matches, averaging 3.00 points, 3.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Geodis Park (Nashville).

Recent results show that Nashville SC have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 1.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.82 — 1.68 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Nashville SC
X23%Draw
235%Philadelphia Union
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes69%
No31%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 68%U 32%
O/U 3.5O 46%U 54%
O/U 4.5O 27%U 73%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Nashville SC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nashville SC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Philadelphia Union
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Philadelphia Union.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Nashville SC19%
Philadelphia Union16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Nashville SC15%
Philadelphia Union13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Nashville SC54%
Philadelphia Union46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Nashville SC
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 23%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 17%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Philadelphia Union
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 17%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 23%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.98%
#22-18.39%
#31-27.75%
#42-27.04%
#53-15.08%
Combined Top 538.24%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Nashville SC + BTTS26%
Philadelphia Union + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Nashville SC Season

Rank#1
Points67
Matches Left8

Philadelphia Union Season

Rank#6
Points46
Matches Left8

Nashville SC Last 5

San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1
Sporting Kansas City 4 - 0
Austin 1 - 4
Toronto FC 2 - 0
Chicago Fire 3 - 0

Philadelphia Union Last 5

Charlotte 2 - 2
Chicago Fire 1 - 3
Real Salt Lake 2 - 1
Orlando City SC 4 - 2
Sporting Kansas City 3 - 4

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC: 3 Draws: 1 Philadelphia Union: 1
2026 Philadelphia Union 0 - 0 Nashville SC
2025 Nashville SC 3 - 1 Philadelphia Union
2025 Nashville SC 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union
2025 Philadelphia Union 1 - 3 Nashville SC
2024 Philadelphia Union 3 - 0 Nashville SC

Form Analysis

Nashville SC
D W W W W
Philadelphia Union
D W W W W

Nashville SC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored45
Goals conceded12
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.80

Philadelphia Union Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.27
Goals scored34
Goals conceded32
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.13

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nashville SC
2.56
Philadelphia Union
2.22

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union is a Football football match on October 28, 2026 at GEODIS Park. Recent form is 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWWW) for Nashville SC and 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWWW) for Philadelphia Union. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 28 Oct 2026
📍 GEODIS Park

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Nashville SC is currently #1 with 67 points from 30 matches, while Philadelphia Union is #6 with 46 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Nashville SC won 3, 1 were drawn and Philadelphia Union won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Nashville SC at 3.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per home match, versus Philadelphia Union at 2.27 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.56 for Nashville SC and 2.22 for Philadelphia Union.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.