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NEC Nijmegen
W D L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Rennes
D W L D L
1X2 NEC Nijmegen 60%
O/U Over 2.5 79%
DC 1X 77%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
NEC Nijmegen 60% Draw 18% Rennes 22%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between NEC Nijmegen and Rennes?

Our prediction for the NEC Nijmegen–Rennes match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

NEC Nijmegen to win (60% confidence); NEC Nijmegen to win or draw (77% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

NEC Nijmegen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, NEC Nijmegen scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Rennes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Rennes scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, NEC Nijmegen and Rennes average 4.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, B. Linssen contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.46/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, B. Dia contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.27/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, NEC Nijmegen records a mean of 6.71/10 versus 6.47/10 for Rennes.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists R. de Groot as coach of NEC Nijmegen. The latest recorded formations are NEC Nijmegen in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Rennes in 3-5-2 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, NEC Nijmegen averaged 56.8% possession and 16.1 shots per match (5.1 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, Rennes averaged 52.4% possession and 16.5 shots (6.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 7 recent home matches, NEC Nijmegen recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.14 points, 1.71 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per match. Away from home, Rennes recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.80 points, 1.80 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This UEFA Europa League fixture takes place at Goffertstadion (Nijmegen).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for NEC Nijmegen: 1.1 points per home match compared with 1.4 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.87 — 1.59 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%NEC Nijmegen
X23%Draw
233%Rennes
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 67%U 33%
O/U 3.5O 45%U 55%
O/U 4.5O 27%U 73%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

NEC Nijmegen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for NEC Nijmegen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 56%U 44%
2.5O 29%U 71%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Rennes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Rennes.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

NEC Nijmegen20%
Rennes15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

NEC Nijmegen17%
Rennes12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

NEC Nijmegen57%
Rennes43%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

NEC Nijmegen
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 23%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Rennes
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 23%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.03%
#22-18.71%
#31-27.44%
#42-26.94%
#52-05.47%
Combined Top 538.59%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

NEC Nijmegen + BTTS27%
Rennes + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

NEC Nijmegen Season

Rank#12
Points7
Matches Left34

Rennes Season

Rank#17
Points6
Matches Left34

NEC Nijmegen Last 5

Utrecht 2 - 3
Omonia Nicosia 3 - 1
Heerenveen 1 - 0
Groningen 2 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 4

Rennes Last 5

Lille 1 - 2
Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 0
Nice 5 - 2
Strasbourg 3 - 0
Juventus 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

NEC Nijmegen
W W D L
Rennes
D D W D

NEC Nijmegen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded2
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Rennes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored2
Goals conceded2
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEC Nijmegen
2.69
Rennes
1.70

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes is a Europa League football match on November 26, 2026 at Goffertstadion. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDL) for NEC Nijmegen and 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: DDWD) for Rennes. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Goffertstadion

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, NEC Nijmegen is currently #12 with 7 points from 4 matches, while Rennes is #17 with 6 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows NEC Nijmegen at 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Rennes at 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.69 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.70 for Rennes.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.