OpWin.

Home

Necaxa

L D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-3
Away

Atlas

W D W L
1X2 Atlas 42%
O/U Over 2.5 83%
DC X2 82%
BTTS Yes 69%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Necaxa 35% Draw 23% Atlas 42%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.66 — 1.83 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Necaxa
X23%Draw
242%Atlas
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes69%
No31%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 68%U 32%
O/U 3.5O 46%U 54%
O/U 4.5O 27%U 73%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Necaxa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Necaxa.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Atlas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atlas.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 11%U 89%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Necaxa16%
Atlas19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Necaxa12%
Atlas15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Necaxa45%
Atlas55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Necaxa
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 17%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 23%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 19%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Atlas
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 19%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 23%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 17%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.99%
#21-28.45%
#32-17.66%
#42-27.03%
#51-35.17%
Combined Top 538.30%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Necaxa + BTTS22%
Atlas + BTTS26%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

5' ⚽ Ryan Mmaee
5' ⚽
64' 🔄 In: Javier Ruiz
67' ⚽
67' 🟥 Milton Valenzuela
70' 🔄 In: Jorge Rodríguez
74' 🔄 In: Juan Valencia
74' 🔄 In: Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos
76' 🔄 In: Edgar Zaldívar
76' 🔄 In: Manuel Capasso
77' 🟥 Adonis Frías
81' 🔄 In: Miguel Pedroza
82' 🔄 In: Rogelio Cortéz
85' 🔄 In: Gaddi Aguirre
90' ⚽ Manuel Capasso
90' 🟥 Diego Ochoa

Lineups

Necaxa Home
  • Javier Orantes
  • E. Martínez
  • D. Ochoa
  • A. Oliveros
  • C. Vargas
  • P. Pedraza
  • M. Rodríguez
  • D. Leyva
  • M. Espíndola
  • Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
  • J. Carranza
Atlas Away
  • C. Vargas
  • J. Sánchez
  • A. Frías
  • J. Purata
  • M. Valenzuela
  • E. Montiel
  • Paulo Ramírez
  • K. Zenón
  • Luís Esteves
  • F. Monzón
  • R. Mmaee

Necaxa Season

Rank#17
Points9
Matches Left25

Atlas Season

Rank#6
Points21
Matches Left25

Necaxa Last 5

Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0
Atlas 0 - 2
CF Pachuca 3 - 3
Club America 2 - 4

Atlas Last 5

Club America 2 - 5
Necaxa 0 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1
Club Tijuana 2 - 3

Head-to-Head

Necaxa: 1 Draws: 1 Atlas: 3
2026 Atlas 0 - 0 Necaxa
2026 Necaxa 0 - 1 Atlas
2025 Atlas 5 - 3 Necaxa
2025 Atlas 3 - 2 Necaxa
2025 Atlas 0 - 4 Necaxa

Form Analysis

Necaxa
L L D L L
Atlas
L W D W D

Necaxa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.14
Goals scored8
Goals conceded14
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Atlas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.17
Goals scored13
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

20Shots14
3Shots on Target5
10Corners6
49%Possession51%
1Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Necaxa
1.81
Atlas
3.40

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Necaxa vs Atlas is a Football football match on October 16, 2026 at Estadio Victoria. Recent form is 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: LLDLL) for Necaxa and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDWD) for Atlas. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Victoria

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Necaxa is currently #17 with 9 points from 13 matches, while Atlas is #6 with 21 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Necaxa won 1, 1 were drawn and Atlas won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Necaxa at 1.14 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Atlas at 2.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.81 for Necaxa and 3.40 for Atlas. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 0 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.