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NEOM
W W D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Abha
L L L D L
1X2 NEOM 48%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC 1X 84%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
NEOM 48% Draw 28% Abha 24%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between NEOM and Abha?

Our prediction for the NEOM–Abha match is: NEOM to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

NEOM to win (48% confidence); over 1.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

NEOM

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, NEOM scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Abha

Across the 4 most recent finished matches with available data, Abha scored an average of 0.50 goals and conceded 1.25 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): NEOM scored 1.40 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Abha scored 0.50 and conceded 1.25 across 4.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, A. Koné contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.42/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, N. Fekir contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.15/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, NEOM records a mean of 6.57/10 versus 6.42/10 for Abha.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list C. Galtier for NEOM and Abdulrazak Alshabi for Abha. The latest recorded formations are NEOM in 3-4-3 (Oct 20, 2026) and Abha in 5-4-1 (Oct 16, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, NEOM averaged 52.2% possession and 11.8 shots per match (3.6 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 4 matches, Abha averaged 38.8% possession and 7.5 shots (1.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, NEOM recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Abha recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Pro League fixture takes place at King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk).

Recent results show that NEOM have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 2.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.67 — 1.36 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%NEOM
X25%Draw
231%Abha
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

NEOM
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for NEOM.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Abha
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Abha.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

NEOM26%
Abha19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

NEOM20%
Abha13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

NEOM59%
Abha41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

NEOM
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 25%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Abha
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 25%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.76%
#22-19.15%
#31-07.45%
#41-27.43%
#52-06.73%
Combined Top 542.52%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

NEOM + BTTS24%
Abha + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

NEOM Season

Rank#6
Points16
Matches Left28

Abha Season

Rank#18
Points2
Matches Left30

NEOM Last 5

Al-Nassr 1 - 0
Al-Ettifaq 0 - 1
Al-Hazm 1 - 1
Al-Fateh 4 - 2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 - 2

Abha Last 5

Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1
Al Diriyah 0 - 0
Al-Nassr 2 - 1
Al-Ettifaq 0 - 1
Al-Fayha 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

NEOM: 1 Draws: 1 Abha: 0
2025 NEOM 2 - 2 Abha
2024 Abha 0 - 2 NEOM

Form Analysis

NEOM
L L D W W
Abha
L D L L L

NEOM Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Abha Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.80
Goals scored4
Goals conceded11
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEOM
1.99
Abha
0.91

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

NEOM vs Abha is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LLDWW) for NEOM and 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: LDLLL) for Abha. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 King Khalid Sport City Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, NEOM is currently #6 with 16 points from 10 matches, while Abha is #18 with 2 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: NEOM won 1, 1 were drawn and Abha won 0 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows NEOM at 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Abha at 0.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.99 for NEOM and 0.91 for Abha.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.