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Newells Old Boys
D W D L W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Union Santa Fe
L L L L D
1X2 Newells Old Boys 54%
O/U Under 2.5 66%
DC 1X 87%
BTTS Yes 57%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Newells Old Boys 54% Draw 27% Union Santa Fe 19%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe?

Our prediction for the Newells Old Boys–Union Santa Fe match is: Newells Old Boys to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Newells Old Boys to win (54% confidence); under 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (57% confidence)

Newells Old Boys

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Newells Old Boys scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

Union Santa Fe

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Union Santa Fe scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Newells Old Boys scored 0.80 and conceded 0.60 per match across 5 covered games; Union Santa Fe scored 0.60 and conceded 2.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Solari contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.95/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Ayala contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.53/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Newells Old Boys records a mean of 6.66/10 versus 6.29/10 for Union Santa Fe.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists L. Madelón as coach of Union Santa Fe. The latest recorded formations are Newells Old Boys in 4-3-3 (Oct 19, 2026) and Union Santa Fe in 4-4-2 (Oct 20, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Newells Old Boys averaged 53.0% possession and 12.8 shots per match (4.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Union Santa Fe averaged 48.8% possession and 14.7 shots (4.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Newells Old Boys recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.67 points, 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Union Santa Fe recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture takes place at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Newells Old Boys, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.58 — 1.24 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Newells Old Boys
X26%Draw
229%Union Santa Fe
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes57%
No43%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 78%U 22%
O/U 2.5O 53%U 47%
O/U 3.5O 31%U 69%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Newells Old Boys
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Newells Old Boys.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Union Santa Fe
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Union Santa Fe.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 87%

A different goal line with 87% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 71%U 29%
1.5O 35%U 65%
2.5O 13%U 87%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Newells Old Boys29%
Union Santa Fe21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Newells Old Boys22%
Union Santa Fe14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Newells Old Boys60%
Union Santa Fe40%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Newells Old Boys
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 26%L 29%
+0.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
+1W 71%P 17%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Union Santa Fe
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 17%L 71%
-0.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
0W 29%P 26%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.68%
#22-19.18%
#31-08.63%
#42-07.39%
#51-27.24%
Combined Top 545.12%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Newells Old Boys + BTTS22%
Union Santa Fe + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS20%

Newells Old Boys Season

Rank#6
Points20
Matches Left25

Union Santa Fe Season

Rank#11
Points14
Matches Left25

Newells Old Boys Last 5

Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 - 1
Gimnasia M. 1 - 0
Lanus 0 - 0
Platense 0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 1

Union Santa Fe Last 5

Deportivo Riestra 1 - 1
Defensa Y Justicia 0 - 2
Boca Juniors 3 - 0
Independiente 1 - 2
Talleres Cordoba 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Newells Old Boys: 2 Draws: 1 Union Santa Fe: 2
2026 Union Santa Fe 2 - 3 Newells Old Boys
2025 Newells Old Boys 0 - 1 Union Santa Fe
2025 Union Santa Fe 1 - 1 Newells Old Boys
2024 Union Santa Fe 2 - 0 Newells Old Boys
2024 Union Santa Fe 1 - 3 Newells Old Boys

Form Analysis

Newells Old Boys
W L D W D
Union Santa Fe
D L L L L

Newells Old Boys Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.43
Goals scored10
Goals conceded5
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.71

Union Santa Fe Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored7
Goals conceded12
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.71

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newells Old Boys
1.48
Union Santa Fe
0.57

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe is a Football football match on November 1, 2026 at Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WLDWD) for Newells Old Boys and 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: DLLLL) for Union Santa Fe. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 1 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Newells Old Boys is currently #6 with 20 points from 13 matches, while Union Santa Fe is #11 with 14 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Newells Old Boys won 2, 1 were drawn and Union Santa Fe won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Newells Old Boys at 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per home match, versus Union Santa Fe at 1.00 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.48 for Newells Old Boys and 0.57 for Union Santa Fe.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.