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Nice
W L W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-3
Away

Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W
1X2 Paris Saint Germain 45%
O/U Over 2.5 84%
DC X2 72%
BTTS Yes 69%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Nice 33% Draw 22% Paris Saint Germain 45%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Paris Saint Germain?

Our prediction for the Nice–Paris Saint Germain match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Paris Saint Germain to win (45% confidence); Paris Saint Germain to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (69% confidence)

Nice

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nice scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Paris Saint Germain

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 3.60 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Nice and Paris Saint Germain average 6.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Wahi contributed 5 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.42/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, A. Hakimi contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.66/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Paris Saint Germain records a mean of 7.20/10 versus 6.87/10 for Nice.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list O. Pantaloni for Nice and Luis Enrique for Paris Saint Germain. The latest recorded formations are Nice in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Paris Saint Germain in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nice averaged 51.1% possession and 11.9 shots per match (4.9 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 12 matches, Paris Saint Germain averaged 65.1% possession and 20.8 shots (10.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Nice recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.50 points, 2.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Paris Saint Germain recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in 7 matches, averaging 2.71 points, 3.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Allianz Riviera (Nice).

Recent results show that Nice have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.5 points per home match compared with 1.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.72 — 1.82 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Nice
X23%Draw
241%Paris Saint Germain
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes69%
No31%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 69%U 31%
O/U 3.5O 47%U 53%
O/U 4.5O 28%U 72%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Nice
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nice.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Paris Saint Germain
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Paris Saint Germain.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 11%U 89%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Nice16%
Paris Saint Germain18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Nice13%
Paris Saint Germain15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Nice47%
Paris Saint Germain53%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Nice
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 23%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Paris Saint Germain
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 23%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.74%
#21-28.27%
#32-17.78%
#42-27.09%
#51-35.02%
Combined Top 537.90%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Nice + BTTS23%
Paris Saint Germain + BTTS26%
Draw + BTTS20%

Nice Season

Rank#6
Points17
Matches Left24

Paris Saint Germain Season

Rank#1
Points23
Matches Left24

Nice Last 5

Angers 0 - 2
Rennes 5 - 2
Stade Brestois 29 1 - 2
Lyon 2 - 1
Strasbourg 2 - 1

Paris Saint Germain Last 5

Estac Troyes 1 - 0
Villarreal 0 - 6
Le Havre 1 - 5
Lyon 2 - 0
Barcelona 4 - 2

Head-to-Head

Nice: 1 Draws: 1 Paris Saint Germain: 3
2026 Nice 0 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Nice
2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 Nice
2024 Nice 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
2024 Nice 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain

Form Analysis

Nice
W W W L W
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W

Nice Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored10
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Paris Saint Germain Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored15
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice
2.11
Paris Saint Germain
2.89

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain is a Ligue 1 football match on November 21, 2026 at Allianz Riviera. Recent form is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWLW) for Nice and 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Paris Saint Germain. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Allianz Riviera

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Nice is currently #6 with 17 points from 10 matches, while Paris Saint Germain is #1 with 23 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Nice won 1, 1 were drawn and Paris Saint Germain won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Nice at 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Paris Saint Germain at 2.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.11 for Nice and 2.89 for Paris Saint Germain.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.