OpWin.

Home

Nice

D L W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Rennes

W L W W L
1X2 Nice 41%
O/U Over 2.5 70%
DC 1X 79%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Nice 41% Draw 26% Rennes 32%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Rennes?

Our prediction for the Nice–Rennes match is: Nice to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Nice to win (41% confidence); over 2.5 goals (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Nice

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nice scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Rennes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Rennes scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Nice scored 1.20 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Rennes scored 2.00 and conceded 2.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Clauss contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.11/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Lepaul contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.12/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists O. Pantaloni as coach of Nice. The latest recorded formations are Nice in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and Rennes in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nice averaged 52.8% possession and 10.6 shots per match (4.2 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Rennes averaged 55.3% possession and 18.0 shots (7.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Nice recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.33 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Rennes recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.67 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Allianz Riviera (Nice).

Recent results show that Nice have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 0.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.76 — 1.53 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Nice
X24%Draw
233%Rennes
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Nice
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nice.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Rennes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Rennes.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Nice22%
Rennes17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Nice17%
Rennes13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Nice56%
Rennes44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Nice
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 24%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Rennes
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 24%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.87%
#22-18.81%
#31-27.66%
#42-26.73%
#51-05.96%
Combined Top 540.03%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Nice + BTTS25%
Rennes + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Nice Season

Rank#13
Points8
Matches Left27

Rennes Season

Rank#6
Points13
Matches Left27

Nice Last 5

Lyon 2 - 1
Strasbourg 2 - 1
Lille 2 - 1
Auxerre 1 - 0
Le Mans 1 - 1

Rennes Last 5

Paris FC 4 - 3
OFI 2 - 1
Auxerre 4 - 1
Lyon 4 - 0
Marseille 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Nice: 2 Draws: 0 Rennes: 3
2026 Nice 0 - 4 Rennes
2025 Rennes 1 - 2 Nice
2025 Rennes 2 - 0 Nice
2025 Nice 3 - 2 Rennes
2024 Rennes 2 - 0 Nice

Form Analysis

Nice
L W W L D
Rennes
L W L W W

Nice Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75

Rennes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded9
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice
2.30
Rennes
1.34

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Nice vs Rennes is a Ligue 1 football match on October 31, 2026 at Allianz Riviera. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWWLD) for Nice and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLWW) for Rennes. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 31 Oct 2026
📍 Allianz Riviera

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Nice is currently #13 with 8 points from 7 matches, while Rennes is #6 with 13 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Nice won 2, 0 were drawn and Rennes won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Nice at 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per home match, versus Rennes at 1.67 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.30 for Nice and 1.34 for Rennes.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.