What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest–Chelsea match is: Nottingham Forest to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Nottingham Forest to win (41% confidence); under 2.5 goals (71% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)
Nottingham Forest
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
Chelsea
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Chelsea scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Chelsea scored 1.80 and conceded 0.80 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Delap contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.66/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, J. Henderson contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.22/10 across 4 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list S. Dyche for Nottingham Forest and Xabi Alonso for Chelsea. The latest recorded formations are Nottingham Forest in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Chelsea in 4-3-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nottingham Forest averaged 45.6% possession and 17.4 shots per match (3.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Chelsea averaged 53.3% possession and 12.5 shots (5.5 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Nottingham Forest recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Chelsea recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Premier League fixture takes place at City Ground (Nottingham).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Nottingham Forest: 1.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.