OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Chelsea

W W L W L
1X2 Nottingham Forest 41%
O/U Under 2.5 71%
DC 1X 76%
BTTS Yes 58%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Nottingham Forest 41% Draw 28% Chelsea 32%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest–Chelsea match is: Nottingham Forest to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Nottingham Forest to win (41% confidence); under 2.5 goals (71% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)

Nottingham Forest

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Chelsea

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Chelsea scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Nottingham Forest scored 1.00 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Chelsea scored 1.80 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Delap contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.66/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, J. Henderson contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.22/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list S. Dyche for Nottingham Forest and Xabi Alonso for Chelsea. The latest recorded formations are Nottingham Forest in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Chelsea in 4-3-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nottingham Forest averaged 45.6% possession and 17.4 shots per match (3.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Chelsea averaged 53.3% possession and 12.5 shots (5.5 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Nottingham Forest recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Chelsea recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Premier League fixture takes place at City Ground (Nottingham).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Nottingham Forest: 1.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.49 — 1.33 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Nottingham Forest
X27%Draw
233%Chelsea
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes58%
No42%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 78%U 22%
O/U 2.5O 53%U 47%
O/U 3.5O 31%U 69%
O/U 4.5O 15%U 85%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Nottingham Forest
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nottingham Forest.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Chelsea
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Chelsea.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Nottingham Forest26%
Chelsea23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Nottingham Forest20%
Chelsea16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Nottingham Forest55%
Chelsea45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Nottingham Forest
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 27%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Chelsea
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 27%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.74%
#22-18.76%
#31-08.21%
#41-27.84%
#50-17.28%
Combined Top 544.83%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Nottingham Forest + BTTS20%
Chelsea + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Nottingham Forest Season

Rank#16
Points9
Matches Left28

Chelsea Season

Rank#5
Points16
Matches Left28

Nottingham Forest Last 5

Manchester City 3 - 1
Brentford 2 - 0
Ipswich 1 - 1
Arsenal 0 - 1
Crystal Palace 3 - 1

Chelsea Last 5

Sunderland 1 - 0
Manchester United 2 - 0
Tottenham 0 - 2
Everton 0 - 2
Bournemouth 5 - 1

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest: 1 Draws: 1 Chelsea: 3
2026 Chelsea 1 - 3 Nottingham Forest
2025 Nottingham Forest 0 - 3 Chelsea
2025 Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Chelsea
2024 Chelsea 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest
2024 Nottingham Forest 2 - 3 Chelsea

Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest
W L D L L
Chelsea
L W L W W

Nottingham Forest Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.60
Goals scored3
Goals conceded4
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.80

Chelsea Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded8
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham Forest
1.13
Chelsea
0.76

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea is a Premier League football match on November 27, 2026 at The City Ground. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: WLDLL) for Nottingham Forest and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLWW) for Chelsea. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 27 Nov 2026
📍 The City Ground

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Nottingham Forest is currently #16 with 9 points from 10 matches, while Chelsea is #5 with 16 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Nottingham Forest won 1, 1 were drawn and Chelsea won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Nottingham Forest at 0.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per home match, versus Chelsea at 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.13 for Nottingham Forest and 0.76 for Chelsea.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.