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Orlando City SC
L L W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

New York City FC
L D L L D
1X2 Orlando City SC 52%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC 1X 87%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Orlando City SC 52% Draw 26% New York City FC 22%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Orlando City SC and New York City FC?

Our prediction for the Orlando City SC–New York City FC match is: Orlando City SC to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Orlando City SC to win (52% confidence); over 1.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Orlando City SC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Orlando City SC scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

New York City FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, New York City FC scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Orlando City SC scored 2.80 and conceded 2.80 per match across 5 covered games; New York City FC scored 0.80 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, A. Griezmann contributed 4 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.48/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Perea contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.89/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Orlando City SC records a mean of 6.84/10 versus 6.63/10 for New York City FC.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Ó. Pareja for Orlando City SC and P. Jansen for New York City FC. The latest recorded formations are Orlando City SC in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and New York City FC in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Orlando City SC averaged 55.9% possession and 13.9 shots per match (5.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, New York City FC averaged 54.1% possession and 11.8 shots (3.9 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Orlando City SC recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 2.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, New York City FC recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Exploria Stadium (Orlando).

Recent results show that Orlando City SC have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 3.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.72 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%Orlando City SC
X25%Draw
230%New York City FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Orlando City SC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Orlando City SC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
New York City FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for New York City FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Orlando City SC25%
New York City FC18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Orlando City SC20%
New York City FC13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Orlando City SC60%
New York City FC40%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Orlando City SC
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 21%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 25%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 16%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
New York City FC
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 16%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 25%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 21%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.66%
#22-19.21%
#31-27.31%
#41-07.17%
#52-06.75%
Combined Top 542.10%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Orlando City SC + BTTS25%
New York City FC + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Orlando City SC Season

Rank#7
Points41
Matches Left8

New York City FC Season

Rank#12
Points34
Matches Left8

Orlando City SC Last 5

DC United 4 - 1
Toronto FC 3 - 3
Columbus Crew 3 - 2
Philadelphia Union 4 - 2
New England Revolution 4 - 2

New York City FC Last 5

Los Angeles FC 1 - 1
Inter Miami 2 - 0
Chicago Fire 2 - 1
Atlanta United FC 2 - 2
New York Red Bulls 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Orlando City SC: 0 Draws: 1 New York City FC: 4
2026 New York City FC 5 - 0 Orlando City SC
2025 Orlando City SC 1 - 2 New York City FC
2025 New York City FC 2 - 1 Orlando City SC
2024 Orlando City SC 1 - 1 New York City FC
2024 New York City FC 4 - 2 Orlando City SC

Form Analysis

Orlando City SC
W D W L L
New York City FC
D L L D L

Orlando City SC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored30
Goals conceded20
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

New York City FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.07
Goals scored16
Goals conceded19
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.27

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Orlando City SC
2.10
New York City FC
0.83

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at Inter&Co Stadium. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WDWLL) for Orlando City SC and 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: DLLDL) for New York City FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 Inter&Co Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Orlando City SC is currently #7 with 41 points from 30 matches, while New York City FC is #12 with 34 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Orlando City SC won 0, 1 were drawn and New York City FC won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Orlando City SC at 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match, versus New York City FC at 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.10 for Orlando City SC and 0.83 for New York City FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.