OpWin.

Home

Padova

L W W D D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Empoli

D L L D D
1X2 Padova 60%
O/U Under 3.5 79%
DC 1X 71%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Padova 60% Draw 19% Empoli 20%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.50 — 1.43 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Padova
X26%Draw
235%Empoli
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Padova
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Padova.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Empoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Empoli.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Padova24%
Empoli22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Padova18%
Empoli16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Padova52%
Empoli48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Padova
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 20%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 26%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Empoli
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 26%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 20%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.42%
#22-18.59%
#31-28.14%
#41-07.31%
#50-16.89%
Combined Top 543.35%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Padova + BTTS21%
Empoli + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' ⚽ Gabriele Artistico
30' ⚽ Joseph Ceesay
36' ⚽ Christian Pastina
41' 🟥 Alessandro Capelli
45' 🔄 In: Steven Shpendi
61' 🔄 In: Filippo Di Stefano
61' 🔄 In: Duccio Degli Innocenti
62' 🔄 In: Pietro Fusi
64' ⚽ Filippo Di Stefano
64' 🟥 Alessandro Sorrentino
71' 🔄 In: Nicolas Galazzi
71' 🔄 In: Matteo Egan
71' 🔄 In: Alexander Seghetti
79' 🔄 In: Mattia Bortolussi
80' 🔄 In: carlo faedo
85' 🔄 In: Edoardo Biondini
90' 🟥 Gerard Yepes

Lineups

Padova Home
  • A. Sorrentino
  • L. Carissoni
  • E. Silletti
  • C. Pastina
  • A. Capelli
  • E. Zuelli
  • M. Pompetti
  • K. Varas
  • M. Cocchi
  • L. Moro
  • G. Artistico
Empoli Away
  • J. Seghetti
  • D. Bembnista
  • G. Indragoli
  • M. Curto
  • K. Zedadka
  • F. Bandinelli
  • Gerard Yepes
  • E. Saporiti
  • N. Corrado
  • J. Ceesay
  • B. Popov

Padova Season

Rank#7
Points15
Matches Left27

Empoli Season

Rank#18
Points9
Matches Left27

Padova Last 5

Empoli 2 - 2
Catanzaro 1 - 1
Sudtirol 2 - 0
Avellino 0 - 1
Virtus Entella 1 - 2

Empoli Last 5

Padova 2 - 2
Juve Stabia 2 - 2
Cesena 2 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 0 - 2
Ascoli 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Padova: 1 Draws: 0 Empoli: 1
2026 Padova 1 - 0 Empoli
2025 Empoli 3 - 1 Padova

Form Analysis

Padova
D D W W L
Empoli
D D L L D

Padova Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

Empoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

17Shots16
6Shots on Target5
8Corners6
60%Possession40%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Padova
1.32
Empoli
1.05

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Padova vs Empoli is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Stadio Comunale Euganeo. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DDWWL) for Padova and 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: DDLLD) for Empoli. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Comunale Euganeo

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Padova is currently #7 with 15 points from 11 matches, while Empoli is #18 with 9 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Padova won 1, 0 were drawn and Empoli won 1 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Padova at 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home match, versus Empoli at 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.32 for Padova and 1.05 for Empoli. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 2 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.