What is the prediction for the football match between Padova and Sampdoria?
Our prediction for the Padova–Sampdoria match is: over 1.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Padova to win (60% confidence); Padova to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Padova
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Padova scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
Sampdoria
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sampdoria scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Padova and Sampdoria average 2.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, G. Artistico contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.13/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Begić contributed 0 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.90/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Padova records a mean of 6.83/10 versus 6.51/10 for Sampdoria.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists R. Longo as coach of Padova. The latest recorded formations are Padova in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Sampdoria in 4-3-3 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Padova averaged 45.5% possession and 9.8 shots per match (2.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Sampdoria averaged 38.5% possession and 11.3 shots (3.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Padova recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Sampdoria recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Euganeo (Padova).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Padova: 1.0 points per home match compared with 1.3 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.