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Paris FC

W D W L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Rennes

L W W L D
1X2 Paris FC 46%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC 1X 88%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Paris FC 46% Draw 28% Rennes 26%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Paris FC Rennes
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' FT Paris FC · 6.0' · 0 Rennes · 6.0' · 0 Paris FC · 10.0' · 0 Rennes · 10.0' · 0 Paris FC · 13.0' · 0 Rennes · 13.0' · 0 Paris FC · 17.0' · 6.35 Rennes · 17.0' · 0 Paris FC · 21.0' · 2 Rennes · 21.0' · 0 Paris FC · 25.0' · 1 Rennes · 25.0' · 0 Paris FC · 29.0' · 2.25 Rennes · 29.0' · 2 Paris FC · 33.0' · 0 Rennes · 33.0' · 3.25 Paris FC · 37.0' · 0 Rennes · 37.0' · 0 Paris FC · 41.0' · 1 Rennes · 41.0' · 2.25 Paris FC · 45.0' · 2 Rennes · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 50.0' · 2.25 Rennes · 50.0' · 1.1 Paris FC · 45.0' · 2.25 Rennes · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 45.0' · 1 Rennes · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 45.0' · 0 Rennes · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 45.0' · 0 Rennes · 45.0' · 0 Paris FC · 48.0' · 0 Rennes · 48.0' · 2.25 Paris FC · 52.0' · 1.1 Rennes · 52.0' · 3.35 Paris FC · 60.0' · 1 Rennes · 60.0' · 0 Paris FC · 64.0' · 1 Rennes · 64.0' · 0 Paris FC · 68.0' · 0 Rennes · 68.0' · 0 Paris FC · 76.0' · 0 Rennes · 76.0' · 4.5 Paris FC · 80.0' · 3.25 Rennes · 80.0' · 0 Paris FC · 84.0' · 0 Rennes · 84.0' · 0 Paris FC · 89.0' · 0 Rennes · 89.0' · 4.35 Paris FC · 93.0' · 0 Rennes · 93.0' · 4.35 Paris FC · 97.0' · 0 Rennes · 97.0' · 0 Paris FC · 90.0' · 2.25 Rennes · 90.0' · 0 Goal · 14' · Maxime López Normal GoalG Card · 23' · Przemysław Frankowski C Goal · 29' · Esteban Lepaul PenaltyG Card · 32' · Djaoui Cissé C Card · 36' · Adrien Thomasson C Card · 36' · Anthony Rouault C Card · 42' · Samir Chergui C Goal · 45' · Maxime López Normal GoalG Substitution · 45' · Ludovic Blas Mousa Al-Tamari ↔ Substitution · 45' · Przemysław Frankowski Mahamadou Nagida ↔ Substitution · 45' · Adrien Thomasson Valentin Rongier ↔ VAR review · 51' · Sebastian Szymański Goal cancelledVAR Substitution · 62' · Djaoui Cissé Mahdi Camara ↔ Card · 67' · Ilan Kebbal C Substitution · 70' · Pablo Pagis Rudy Matondo ↔ Goal · 74' · Esteban Lepaul PenaltyG Goal · 76' · Lassine Sinayoko Normal GoalG Substitution · 79' · Ilan Kebbal Moses Simon ↔ Substitution · 79' · Hamari Traore Otavio ↔ Substitution · 79' · Issa Soumaré Boulaye Dia ↔ Substitution · 86' · Samir Chergui Emmanuel Mbemba ↔ Substitution · 86' · Luca Koleosho Moustapha Mbow ↔ Goal · 88' · Esteban Lepaul PenaltyG Card · 90' · Hamari Traore C VAR review · 90' · Lassine Sinayoko Penalty confirmedVAR Goal · 90' · Lassine Sinayoko PenaltyG

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 05:22 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.74 — 1.36 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

146%Paris FC
X25%Draw
229%Rennes
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Paris FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Paris FC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Rennes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Rennes.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Paris FC26%
Rennes17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Paris FC21%
Rennes12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Paris FC61%
Rennes39%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Paris FC
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 21%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 25%L 29%
+0.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
+1W 71%P 16%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Rennes
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 16%L 71%
-0.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
0W 29%P 25%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 21%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.47%
#22-19.26%
#31-07.24%
#41-27.22%
#52-06.82%
Combined Top 542.01%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Paris FC + BTTS25%
Rennes + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' ⚽ Maxime López
23' 🟥 Przemysław Frankowski
29' ⚽ Esteban Lepaul
32' 🟥 Djaoui Cissé
36' 🟥 Adrien Thomasson
36' 🟥 Anthony Rouault
42' 🟥 Samir Chergui
45' ⚽ Maxime López
45' 🔄 In: Valentin Rongier
45' 🔄 In: Mousa Al-Tamari
45' 🔄 In: Mahamadou Nagida
51' ⚽
62' 🔄 In: Mahdi Camara
67' 🟥 Ilan Kebbal
70' 🔄 In: Rudy Matondo
74' ⚽ Esteban Lepaul
76' ⚽ Lassine Sinayoko
79' 🔄 In: Otavio
79' 🔄 In: Boulaye Dia
79' 🔄 In: Moses Simon
86' 🔄 In: Moustapha Mbow
86' 🔄 In: Emmanuel Mbemba
88' ⚽ Esteban Lepaul
90' ⚽
90' 🟥 Hamari Traore
90' ⚽ Lassine Sinayoko

Lineups

Paris FC Home
  • K. Trapp
  • A. Camara
  • S. Chergui
  • D. Coppola
  • H. Traoré
  • M. Lopez
  • P. Lees-Melou
  • I. Kebbal
  • P. Pagis
  • L. Koleosho
  • L. Sinayoko
Rennes Away
  • B. Samba
  • B. Reynolds
  • C. Cresswell
  • A. Rouault
  • P. Frankowski
  • S. Szymański
  • D. Cissé
  • A. Thomasson
  • L. Blas
  • E. Lepaul
  • I. Soumaré

Paris FC Season

Rank#3
Points14
Matches Left27

Rennes Season

Rank#6
Points13
Matches Left27

Paris FC Last 5

Rennes 4 - 3
Lorient 1 - 0
Strasbourg 2 - 1
Lyon 0 - 0
Marseille 2 - 3

Rennes Last 5

Juventus 2 - 2
Paris FC 4 - 3
OFI 2 - 1
Auxerre 4 - 1
Lyon 4 - 0

Head-to-Head

Paris FC: 0 Draws: 0 Rennes: 2
2026 Rennes 2 - 1 Paris FC
2025 Paris FC 0 - 1 Rennes

Form Analysis

Paris FC
W D W L W
Rennes
L W W L D

Paris FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Rennes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded11
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.75

Match Statistics

19Shots12
9Shots on Target7
3Corners4
53%Possession47%
3Yellow Cards4

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris FC
2.16
Rennes
0.79

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Paris FC vs Rennes is a Ligue 1 football match on October 18, 2026 at Stade Jean-Bouin. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWLW) for Paris FC and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWWLD) for Rennes. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stade Jean-Bouin

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Paris FC is currently #3 with 14 points from 7 matches, while Rennes is #6 with 13 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Paris FC won 0, 0 were drawn and Rennes won 2 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Paris FC at 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Rennes at 1.75 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.16 for Paris FC and 0.79 for Rennes. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 4 - 3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.