What is the prediction for the football match between PAU and Grenoble?
Our prediction for the PAU–Grenoble match is: under 3.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
PAU to win (52% confidence); PAU to win or draw (75% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
PAU
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, PAU scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
Grenoble
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Grenoble scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, PAU and Grenoble average 2.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 3.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Rajot contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.12/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Xantippe contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.79/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, PAU records a mean of 6.94/10 versus 6.49/10 for Grenoble.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists R. Novelli as coach of PAU. The latest recorded formations are PAU in 5-3-2 (Oct 16, 2026) and Grenoble in 4-1-4-1 (Oct 16, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, PAU averaged 45.6% possession and 15.0 shots per match (6.2 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Grenoble averaged 44.8% possession and 10.2 shots (2.2 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.
Home and away performance
In 3 recent home matches, PAU recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.33 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Grenoble recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Ligue 2 fixture takes place at Nouste Camp (Pau).
Recent results show that PAU have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 1.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.