1X2 outlook
The 1X2 probabilities are closely grouped, so the model does not show a clear outcome leader.
OpWin AI Probabilities
Penafiel 38%
Draw 26%
Feirense 36%
OPWIN Market Insights
Over / Under goals
The current goals projection leans towards Over 1.5 goals (model confidence: 76%). This remains an estimate.
Both Teams to Score
The Both Teams to Score market leans to Yes in the current model pick (confidence: 62%).
Expected Goals (xG)
Expected Goals (xG) project Penafiel at 1.4 and Feirense at 1.4, for 2.7 combined. The estimate is in a moderate scoring range.
These explanations describe the available model outputs. They are estimates, not guarantees or claims of betting value.
1X2 — Match Result
The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).
138%Penafiel
X26%Draw
236%Feirense
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.
Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals
Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.
O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away
Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.
Penafiel
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 93%
The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Penafiel.
Possible alternative
Under 2.5 goals · 80%
A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Feirense
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 93%
The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Feirense.
Possible alternative
Under 2.5 goals · 81%
A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.
Clean Sheet
A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.
Penafiel22%
Feirense21%
Win to Nil
The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.
Penafiel17%
Feirense16%
Draw No Bet
The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.
Penafiel51%
Feirense49%
Asian Handicap
The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.
Penafiel
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Feirense
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score
OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.
#11-111.89%
#22-18.50%
#31-28.24%
#41-06.64%
#50-16.41%
Combined Top 541.68%
How Dutching works with $100
Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.
Winner + BTTS
This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.
Penafiel + BTTS21%
Feirense + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%
Penafiel Season
Rank#4
Points13
Matches Left31
Feirense Season
Rank#18
Points1
Matches Left31
Penafiel Last 5
AVS
1 - 2
Feirense Last 5
Farense
2 - 1
Head-to-Head
Penafiel: 1
Draws: 0
Feirense: 4
2026
Feirense
1 - 0
Penafiel
2025
Penafiel
1 - 2
Feirense
2025
Penafiel
1 - 2
Feirense
2024
Feirense
3 - 0
Penafiel
2024
Penafiel
2 - 1
Feirense
Form Analysis
Penafiel
L
W
W
W
W
Feirense
L
L
L
L
L
Penafiel Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00
Feirense Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.25
Goals scored1
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50
Match Statistics
Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.
Expected Goals (xG)
Penafiel
1.35
Feirense
1.35
Live Commentary & Analysis
Match Preview
Penafiel vs Feirense is a Football football match on November 2, 2026 at Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril. Recent form is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWWW) for Penafiel and 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for Feirense. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.
Standings & Context
In the Football standings, Penafiel is currently #4 with 13 points from 7 matches, while Feirense is #18 with 1 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Penafiel won 1, 0 were drawn and Feirense won 4 across the last 5 meetings.
Performance Analysis
The performance profile shows Penafiel at 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Feirense at 0.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.35 for Penafiel and 1.35 for Feirense.
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.