OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Toronto FC

W L W L L
1X2 Philadelphia Union 48%
O/U Over 2.5 67%
DC 1X 85%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Philadelphia Union 48% Draw 28% Toronto FC 24%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.84 — 1.43 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

147%Philadelphia Union
X24%Draw
229%Toronto FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Philadelphia Union
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Philadelphia Union.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Toronto FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Toronto FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Philadelphia Union24%
Toronto FC16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Philadelphia Union19%
Toronto FC11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Philadelphia Union61%
Toronto FC39%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Philadelphia Union
-1.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
-1W 26%P 21%L 53%
-0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
0W 47%P 24%L 29%
+0.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
+1W 71%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Toronto FC
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 71%
-0.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
0W 29%P 24%L 47%
+0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
+1W 53%P 21%L 26%
+1.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.73%
#22-19.17%
#31-27.14%
#42-26.57%
#52-06.40%
Combined Top 540.01%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Philadelphia Union + BTTS27%
Toronto FC + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

11' ⚽
28' ⚽ Cavan Sullivan
41' ⚽ Quinn Sullivan
45' 🟥 Jovan Lukic
45' ⚽
45' ⚽ Josh Sargent
45' 🔄 In: Andrew Rick
58' ⚽ Cavan Sullivan
61' 🔄 In: Dániel Sallói
62' 🔄 In: Theo Corbeanu
62' 🔄 In: Matheus Pereira de Souza
67' 🟥 Jonathan Osorio
73' ⚽ Bruno Damiani
74' 🔄 In: Niklas Dorsch
77' 🔄 In: Benjamin Bender
78' 🔄 In: Emilio Aristizábal
82' 🔄 In: Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh
87' 🟥 Benjamin Bender
90' 🔄 In: Malik Jakupovic
90' 🟥 Emilio Aristizábal
90' 🔄 In: Derrick Etienne Jr.
90' 🔄 In: Alejandro Bedoya

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Home
  • A. Blake
  • F. Westfield
  • Neil Pierre
  • N. Harriel
  • K. Wagner
  • Cavan Sullivan
  • D. Jean-Jacques
  • J. Lukić
  • I. Vassilev
  • B. Damiani
  • Q. Sullivan
Toronto FC Away
  • W. Yarbrough
  • R. Laryea
  • J. Gilman
  • Z. Monlouis
  • R. Chukwu
  • J. Osorio
  • M. Cimermancic
  • A. Piedrahita
  • D. Mihailović
  • L. Morgan
  • J. Sargent

Philadelphia Union Season

Rank#6
Points50
Matches Left4

Toronto FC Season

Rank#12
Points39
Matches Left4

Philadelphia Union Last 5

Toronto FC 4 - 1
FC Cincinnati 1 - 0
Nashville SC 0 - 0
New England Revolution 1 - 2
Charlotte 2 - 2

Toronto FC Last 5

Philadelphia Union 4 - 1
Atlanta United FC 3 - 1
DC United 2 - 1
Columbus Crew 4 - 2
New York Red Bulls 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union: 1 Draws: 3 Toronto FC: 1
2026 Toronto FC 3 - 3 Philadelphia Union
2025 Philadelphia Union 1 - 1 Toronto FC
2025 Toronto FC 1 - 2 Philadelphia Union
2024 Toronto FC 2 - 1 Philadelphia Union
2024 Philadelphia Union 0 - 0 Toronto FC

Form Analysis

Philadelphia Union
W L D L D
Toronto FC
L L W L W

Philadelphia Union Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.88
Goals scored32
Goals conceded19
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.12

Toronto FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.94
Goals scored16
Goals conceded34
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

19Shots6
9Shots on Target1
6Corners1
43%Possession57%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Philadelphia Union
2.45
Toronto FC
1.09

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Subaru Park. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WLDLD) for Philadelphia Union and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWLW) for Toronto FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Subaru Park

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Philadelphia Union is currently #6 with 50 points from 34 matches, while Toronto FC is #12 with 39 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: Philadelphia Union won 1, 3 were drawn and Toronto FC won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Philadelphia Union at 1.88 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per home match, versus Toronto FC at 0.94 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.45 for Philadelphia Union and 1.09 for Toronto FC. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 4 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.