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Pisa
W D D L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Modena
L W W D W
1X2 Pisa 40%
O/U Over 2.5 69%
DC X2 66%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Pisa 40% Draw 23% Modena 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Pisa and Modena?

Our prediction for the Pisa–Modena match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Pisa to win (40% confidence); Modena to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Pisa

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Pisa scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Modena

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Modena scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Pisa and Modena average 3.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, M. Tramoni contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.66/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Belotti contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.76/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Modena records a mean of 6.69/10 versus 6.52/10 for Pisa.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list A. Gilardino for Pisa and A. Sottil for Modena. The latest recorded formations are Pisa in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Modena in 4-3-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Pisa averaged 53.3% possession and 15.6 shots per match (5.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Modena averaged 58.7% possession and 16.1 shots (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Pisa recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.67 points, 2.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Modena recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Serie B fixture takes place at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Pisa: 1.7 points per home match compared with 1.3 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.62 — 1.61 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Pisa
X25%Draw
237%Modena
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Pisa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Pisa.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Modena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Modena.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Pisa20%
Modena20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Pisa15%
Modena15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Pisa50%
Modena50%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Pisa
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Modena
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.17%
#22-18.33%
#31-28.29%
#42-26.71%
#51-05.74%
Combined Top 540.24%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Pisa + BTTS22%
Modena + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Pisa Season

Rank#8
Points16
Matches Left27

Modena Season

Rank#2
Points23
Matches Left27

Pisa Last 5

Sudtirol 2 - 2
Avellino 2 - 0
Palermo 3 - 3
Hellas Verona 1 - 1
Cremonese 3 - 1

Modena Last 5

Virtus Entella 0 - 2
Mantova 1 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 1 - 2
Cesena 3 - 0
Carrarese 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Pisa: 0 Draws: 1 Modena: 4
2025 Pisa 1 - 2 Modena
2024 Modena 1 - 0 Pisa
2024 Pisa 2 - 2 Modena
2023 Modena 2 - 0 Pisa
2023 Modena 1 - 0 Pisa

Form Analysis

Pisa
D L D D W
Modena
W D W W L

Pisa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded12
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Modena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Pisa
1.68
Modena
1.92

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Pisa vs Modena is a Football football match on November 24, 2026 at Cetilar® Arena. Recent form is 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDDW) for Pisa and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWWL) for Modena. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Nov 2026
📍 Cetilar® Arena

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Pisa is currently #8 with 16 points from 11 matches, while Modena is #2 with 23 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Pisa won 0, 1 were drawn and Modena won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Pisa at 1.83 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Modena at 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.68 for Pisa and 1.92 for Modena.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.