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Puebla

L D D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Monterrey

W L D W
1X2 Puebla 45%
O/U Over 1.5 80%
DC 1X 71%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Puebla 45% Draw 26% Monterrey 29%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Puebla and Monterrey?

Our prediction for the Puebla–Monterrey match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Puebla to win (45% confidence); Puebla to win or draw (71% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Puebla

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Puebla scored an average of 0.33 goals and conceded 0.67 per match.

Monterrey

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Monterrey scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Puebla and Monterrey average 2.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 2 recent recorded appearances, E. Armenta contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.16/10 across 2 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, D. Rossi contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.01/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Domènec Torrent as coach of Monterrey. The latest recorded formations are Puebla in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Monterrey in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 19, 2026). Across 3 recent matches with possession and shot data, Puebla averaged 46.0% possession and 11.7 shots per match (3.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 3 matches, Monterrey averaged 51.0% possession and 11.3 shots (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Puebla, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.63 — 1.49 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Puebla
X25%Draw
235%Monterrey
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Puebla
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Puebla.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Monterrey
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Monterrey.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Puebla22%
Monterrey20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Puebla17%
Monterrey15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Puebla54%
Monterrey46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Puebla
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Monterrey
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.62%
#22-18.70%
#31-27.99%
#41-06.53%
#52-26.49%
Combined Top 541.33%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Puebla + BTTS23%
Monterrey + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Puebla Season

Rank#12
Points16
Matches Left26

Monterrey Season

Rank#8
Points17
Matches Left27

Puebla Last 5

Club Tijuana 0 - 0
Leon 1 - 1
Tigres UANL 1 - 0

Monterrey Last 5

CF Pachuca 2 - 1
Club America 1 - 1
Atlante FC 4 - 2
Cruz Azul 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Puebla: 0 Draws: 1 Monterrey: 4
2026 Monterrey 2 - 1 Puebla
2025 Puebla 2 - 4 Monterrey
2025 Monterrey 1 - 1 Puebla
2024 Puebla 1 - 2 Monterrey
2024 Monterrey 2 - 0 Puebla

Form Analysis

Puebla
D D L D L
Monterrey
W D L W D

Puebla Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Monterrey Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded9
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.80

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Puebla
1.67
Monterrey
1.30

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Puebla vs Monterrey is a Football football match on October 21, 2026 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Recent form is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: DDLDL) for Puebla and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLWD) for Monterrey. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Oct 2026
📍 Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Puebla is currently #12 with 16 points from 12 matches, while Monterrey is #8 with 17 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Puebla won 0, 1 were drawn and Monterrey won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Puebla at 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Monterrey at 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.67 for Puebla and 1.30 for Monterrey.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.