OpWin.

Home

QPR

D D D W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Swansea

W W W W L
1X2 Swansea 37%
O/U Over 2.5 68%
DC 1X 73%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
QPR 36% Draw 26% Swansea 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between QPR and Swansea?

Our prediction for the QPR–Swansea match is: QPR to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Swansea to win (37% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

QPR

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, QPR scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Swansea

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Swansea scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): QPR scored 1.60 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Swansea scored 1.60 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, N. Madsen contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.91/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Yeo contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.28/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Swansea records a mean of 6.69/10 versus 6.53/10 for QPR.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list J. Stéphan for QPR and L. Williams for Swansea. The latest recorded formations are QPR in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Swansea in 4-3-3 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, QPR averaged 50.0% possession and 12.8 shots per match (4.2 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Swansea averaged 52.2% possession and 11.7 shots (3.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Championship fixture takes place at Loftus Road (London).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for QPR, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.71 — 1.52 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%QPR
X25%Draw
234%Swansea
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

QPR
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for QPR.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 91%
Swansea
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Swansea.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

QPR22%
Swansea18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

QPR17%
Swansea13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

QPR55%
Swansea45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

QPR
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Swansea
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.07%
#22-18.76%
#31-27.79%
#42-26.68%
#51-06.11%
Combined Top 540.41%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

QPR + BTTS25%
Swansea + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

QPR Season

Rank#9
Points17
Matches Left27

Swansea Season

Rank#1
Points23
Matches Left27

QPR Last 5

Birmingham 3 - 0
Derby 4 - 1
West Ham 1 - 1
Preston 2 - 2
West Brom 1 - 1

Swansea Last 5

West Ham 0 - 1
Millwall 0 - 1
Norwich 2 - 1
Lincoln 1 - 2
Burnley 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

QPR: 2 Draws: 0 Swansea: 3
2026 QPR 1 - 2 Swansea
2025 Swansea 0 - 1 QPR
2025 QPR 1 - 2 Swansea
2024 Swansea 3 - 0 QPR
2024 Swansea 0 - 1 QPR

Form Analysis

QPR
L W D D D
Swansea
L W W W W

QPR Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.60
Goals scored8
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Swansea Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

QPR
2.07
Swansea
1.49

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

QPR vs Swansea is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at MATRADE Loftus Road. Recent form is 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDDD) for QPR and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWWW) for Swansea. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 MATRADE Loftus Road

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, QPR is currently #9 with 17 points from 11 matches, while Swansea is #1 with 23 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: QPR won 2, 0 were drawn and Swansea won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows QPR at 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Swansea at 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.07 for QPR and 1.49 for Swansea.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.